Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a minimum temperature of 64–65°F on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. This reading sits slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 61.6°F for the date, reflecting a mild overnight period under clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and no significant frontal passage or radiational cooling. Model consensus and surface analyses showed stable high pressure maintaining temperatures above typical early-fall minima. The only realistic challenges to resolution would involve post-event data revisions from the primary station or an unexpected discrepancy with auxiliary sites, though such adjustments are historically rare for daily minimums once preliminary climatological data are released.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日紐約市的最低溫度?
64-65°F 100.0%
60-61°F <1%
55°F或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
$7,680 交易量
$7,680 交易量
55°F或以下
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
100%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
華氏74度或以上
<1%
64-65°F 100.0%
60-61°F <1%
55°F或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
$7,680 交易量
$7,680 交易量
55°F或以下
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
100%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
華氏74度或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a minimum temperature of 64–65°F on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. This reading sits slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 61.6°F for the date, reflecting a mild overnight period under clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and no significant frontal passage or radiational cooling. Model consensus and surface analyses showed stable high pressure maintaining temperatures above typical early-fall minima. The only realistic challenges to resolution would involve post-event data revisions from the primary station or an unexpected discrepancy with auxiliary sites, though such adjustments are historically rare for daily minimums once preliminary climatological data are released.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions