**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service places the September 17 high in New York City in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly sunny skies and a southerly flow.** This setup favors the market-leading 80–81°F bin at 43% implied probability, followed by 82–83°F at 30.5%, as models show modest warming from recent 70s readings without strong high pressure or downslope effects to push readings higher. Increasing afternoon cloud cover and a low-end chance of showers introduce slight cooling potential that caps upside at 84–85°F (12.5%), while 78–79°F retains 18% support if marine influence or earlier cloud build-up dominates. Historical mid-September Central Park averages near 77°F provide context, but the current pattern aligns with the warmer side of recent analogs. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月17日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月17日的最高溫度？
80-81華氏度 44%
82-83°F 32%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 12%
最新
$26,250 交易量
最新
$26,250 交易量
2026-09-17
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
12%
80-81華氏度
44%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
80-81華氏度 44%
82-83°F 32%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 12%
最新
$26,250 交易量
最新
$26,250 交易量
2026-09-17
華氏71度或以下
$218 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$402 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$468 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$1,152 交易量
3%
78-79°F
$4,452 交易量
12%
80-81華氏度
$5,923 交易量
44%
82-83°F
$5,846 交易量
32%
84-85°F
$6,003 交易量
14%
86-87°F
$1,028 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$306 交易量
<1%
華氏90度或以上
$453 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service places the September 17 high in New York City in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly sunny skies and a southerly flow.** This setup favors the market-leading 80–81°F bin at 43% implied probability, followed by 82–83°F at 30.5%, as models show modest warming from recent 70s readings without strong high pressure or downslope effects to push readings higher. Increasing afternoon cloud cover and a low-end chance of showers introduce slight cooling potential that caps upside at 84–85°F (12.5%), while 78–79°F retains 18% support if marine influence or earlier cloud build-up dominates. Historical mid-September Central Park averages near 77°F provide context, but the current pattern aligns with the warmer side of recent analogs. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$26,250結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service places the September 17 high in New York City in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly sunny skies and a southerly flow.** This setup favors the market-leading 80–81°F bin at 43% implied probability, followed by 82–83°F at 30.5%, as models show modest warming from recent 70s readings without strong high pressure or downslope effects to push readings higher. Increasing afternoon cloud cover and a low-end chance of showers introduce slight cooling potential that caps upside at 84–85°F (12.5%), while 78–79°F retains 18% support if marine influence or earlier cloud build-up dominates. Historical mid-September Central Park averages near 77°F provide context, but the current pattern aligns with the warmer side of recent analogs. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,250結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service places the September 17 high in New York City in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly sunny skies and a southerly flow.** This setup favors the market-leading 80–81°F bin at 43% implied probability, followed by 82–83°F at 30.5%, as models show modest warming from recent 70s readings without strong high pressure or downslope effects to push readings higher. Increasing afternoon cloud cover and a low-end chance of showers introduce slight cooling potential that caps upside at 84–85°F (12.5%), while 78–79°F retains 18% support if marine influence or earlier cloud build-up dominates. Historical mid-September Central Park averages near 77°F provide context, but the current pattern aligns with the warmer side of recent analogs. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions