Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus project highs of 97–100°F for Austin on September 20, supporting the market's tight clustering around 96–99°F outcomes. Persistent upper-level ridging and southerly flow maintain hot, mostly dry conditions with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk, though minor differences in afternoon mixing, exact wind speeds, or model bias on boundary-layer moisture could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 90°F underscore the anomalously warm pattern. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs on September 19 will provide the next key inputs for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
9月20日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
100-101°F 35%
96-97°F 32%
98-99°F 28%
94-95°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
89華氏度或以下
5%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
32%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
35%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
10%
106-107°F
6%
華氏108度或更高
5%
100-101°F 35%
96-97°F 32%
98-99°F 28%
94-95°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
89華氏度或以下
$0 交易量
5%
90-91°F
$15 交易量
8%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
11%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
19%
96-97°F
$14 交易量
32%
98-99°F
$0 交易量
28%
100-101°F
$0 交易量
35%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
19%
104-105°F
$0 交易量
10%
106-107°F
$0 交易量
6%
華氏108度或更高
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus project highs of 97–100°F for Austin on September 20, supporting the market's tight clustering around 96–99°F outcomes. Persistent upper-level ridging and southerly flow maintain hot, mostly dry conditions with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk, though minor differences in afternoon mixing, exact wind speeds, or model bias on boundary-layer moisture could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 90°F underscore the anomalously warm pattern. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs on September 19 will provide the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$29結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus project highs of 97–100°F for Austin on September 20, supporting the market's tight clustering around 96–99°F outcomes. Persistent upper-level ridging and southerly flow maintain hot, mostly dry conditions with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk, though minor differences in afternoon mixing, exact wind speeds, or model bias on boundary-layer moisture could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 90°F underscore the anomalously warm pattern. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs on September 19 will provide the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus project highs of 97–100°F for Austin on September 20, supporting the market's tight clustering around 96–99°F outcomes. Persistent upper-level ridging and southerly flow maintain hot, mostly dry conditions with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk, though minor differences in afternoon mixing, exact wind speeds, or model bias on boundary-layer moisture could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 90°F underscore the anomalously warm pattern. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs on September 19 will provide the next key inputs for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions