Forecast models from agencies tracking southern China conditions point to a daily maximum near 34–35°C in Guangzhou on September 18, driven by subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with a 25–36% chance of scattered showers that could cap afternoon heating. This baseline, set against a historical September average high of about 32°C and recent regional warmth, underpins trader consensus around 36°C as the leading implied outcome, with the secondary 37°C share reflecting modest upside potential from urban heat island effects or brief model runs showing slightly higher peaks. Lower odds for 38°C+ or sub-35°C readings capture the narrow uncertainty band tied to exact timing of any cloud buildup or measurement at official stations, with real-time observations expected to tighten resolution criteria later in the day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日廣州最高溫度？
9月18日廣州最高溫度？
36°C 67%
37°C 21%
38°C或以上 2.1%
28°C或以下 <1%
$42,686 交易量
$42,686 交易量
2026-09-18
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
67%
37°C
31%
38°C或以上
2%
36°C 67%
37°C 21%
38°C或以上 2.1%
28°C或以下 <1%
$42,686 交易量
$42,686 交易量
2026-09-18
28°C或以下
$1,952 交易量
<1%
29°C
$149 交易量
<1%
30°C
$662 交易量
<1%
31°C
$644 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,909 交易量
<1%
33°C
$2,681 交易量
<1%
34°C
$5,396 交易量
<1%
35°C
$9,066 交易量
<1%
36°C
$8,479 交易量
67%
37°C
$5,121 交易量
31%
38°C或以上
$7,344 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking southern China conditions point to a daily maximum near 34–35°C in Guangzhou on September 18, driven by subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with a 25–36% chance of scattered showers that could cap afternoon heating. This baseline, set against a historical September average high of about 32°C and recent regional warmth, underpins trader consensus around 36°C as the leading implied outcome, with the secondary 37°C share reflecting modest upside potential from urban heat island effects or brief model runs showing slightly higher peaks. Lower odds for 38°C+ or sub-35°C readings capture the narrow uncertainty band tied to exact timing of any cloud buildup or measurement at official stations, with real-time observations expected to tighten resolution criteria later in the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$42,686結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking southern China conditions point to a daily maximum near 34–35°C in Guangzhou on September 18, driven by subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with a 25–36% chance of scattered showers that could cap afternoon heating. This baseline, set against a historical September average high of about 32°C and recent regional warmth, underpins trader consensus around 36°C as the leading implied outcome, with the secondary 37°C share reflecting modest upside potential from urban heat island effects or brief model runs showing slightly higher peaks. Lower odds for 38°C+ or sub-35°C readings capture the narrow uncertainty band tied to exact timing of any cloud buildup or measurement at official stations, with real-time observations expected to tighten resolution criteria later in the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$42,686結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast models from agencies tracking southern China conditions point to a daily maximum near 34–35°C in Guangzhou on September 18, driven by subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with a 25–36% chance of scattered showers that could cap afternoon heating. This baseline, set against a historical September average high of about 32°C and recent regional warmth, underpins trader consensus around 36°C as the leading implied outcome, with the secondary 37°C share reflecting modest upside potential from urban heat island effects or brief model runs showing slightly higher peaks. Lower odds for 38°C+ or sub-35°C readings capture the narrow uncertainty band tied to exact timing of any cloud buildup or measurement at official stations, with real-time observations expected to tighten resolution criteria later in the day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions