Recent ensemble forecasts and high-resolution models from European meteorological centers indicate a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Paris on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and minimal daytime heating. This consensus aligns closely with the September climatological normal of 21.2°C and current synoptic patterns showing no strong high-pressure buildup or warm advection. The market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C reflects traders’ assessment of these stable model outputs, with narrower probabilities assigned to 21°C or 23°C reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1°C. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping resolution likely within the 21–23°C band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日巴黎最高溫度？
9月18日巴黎最高溫度？
22°C 58%
21°C 20%
23°C 19%
24°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
20%
22°C
58%
23°C
19%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或以上
<1%
22°C 58%
21°C 20%
23°C 19%
24°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
17°C或以下
$494 交易量
<1%
18°C
$157 交易量
<1%
19°C
$297 交易量
<1%
20°C
$380 交易量
2%
21°C
$1,041 交易量
20%
22°C
$2,013 交易量
58%
23°C
$1,601 交易量
19%
24°C
$389 交易量
3%
25°C
$147 交易量
<1%
26°C
$152 交易量
<1%
27°C或以上
$347 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts and high-resolution models from European meteorological centers indicate a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Paris on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and minimal daytime heating. This consensus aligns closely with the September climatological normal of 21.2°C and current synoptic patterns showing no strong high-pressure buildup or warm advection. The market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C reflects traders’ assessment of these stable model outputs, with narrower probabilities assigned to 21°C or 23°C reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1°C. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping resolution likely within the 21–23°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$7,017結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts and high-resolution models from European meteorological centers indicate a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Paris on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and minimal daytime heating. This consensus aligns closely with the September climatological normal of 21.2°C and current synoptic patterns showing no strong high-pressure buildup or warm advection. The market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C reflects traders’ assessment of these stable model outputs, with narrower probabilities assigned to 21°C or 23°C reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1°C. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping resolution likely within the 21–23°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,017結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts and high-resolution models from European meteorological centers indicate a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Paris on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and minimal daytime heating. This consensus aligns closely with the September climatological normal of 21.2°C and current synoptic patterns showing no strong high-pressure buildup or warm advection. The market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C reflects traders’ assessment of these stable model outputs, with narrower probabilities assigned to 21°C or 23°C reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1°C. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping resolution likely within the 21–23°C band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions