Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France, GFS, and ECMWF models positions a daytime maximum near 22°C at Paris-Le Bourget as the most probable outcome for September 17, 2026, with trader-implied odds reflecting that alignment. Advection of cooler maritime air from the northwest, combined with persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly winds, has limited surface heating and kept values close to the late-September climatological average of roughly 21–22°C. Minor model differences on the timing of any breaks in cloud or light precipitation create the secondary probability on 23°C, while cooler readings would require faster or more extensive cooling than current guidance indicates. Updated model runs and official station observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴黎9月17日最高溫度？
巴黎9月17日最高溫度？
22°C 54%
23°C 34%
21°C 12%
24°C 4%
最新
$30,630 交易量
最新
$30,630 交易量
2026-09-17
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
12%
22°C
54%
23°C
34%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C或以上
<1%
22°C 54%
23°C 34%
21°C 12%
24°C 4%
最新
$30,630 交易量
最新
$30,630 交易量
2026-09-17
16°C或以下
$2,681 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,147 交易量
<1%
18°C
$147 交易量
<1%
19°C
$851 交易量
<1%
20°C
$2,763 交易量
2%
21°C
$4,843 交易量
12%
22°C
$5,260 交易量
54%
23°C
$7,344 交易量
34%
24°C
$3,176 交易量
4%
25°C
$893 交易量
<1%
26°C或以上
$1,524 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France, GFS, and ECMWF models positions a daytime maximum near 22°C at Paris-Le Bourget as the most probable outcome for September 17, 2026, with trader-implied odds reflecting that alignment. Advection of cooler maritime air from the northwest, combined with persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly winds, has limited surface heating and kept values close to the late-September climatological average of roughly 21–22°C. Minor model differences on the timing of any breaks in cloud or light precipitation create the secondary probability on 23°C, while cooler readings would require faster or more extensive cooling than current guidance indicates. Updated model runs and official station observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$30,630結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France, GFS, and ECMWF models positions a daytime maximum near 22°C at Paris-Le Bourget as the most probable outcome for September 17, 2026, with trader-implied odds reflecting that alignment. Advection of cooler maritime air from the northwest, combined with persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly winds, has limited surface heating and kept values close to the late-September climatological average of roughly 21–22°C. Minor model differences on the timing of any breaks in cloud or light precipitation create the secondary probability on 23°C, while cooler readings would require faster or more extensive cooling than current guidance indicates. Updated model runs and official station observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,630結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from Météo-France, GFS, and ECMWF models positions a daytime maximum near 22°C at Paris-Le Bourget as the most probable outcome for September 17, 2026, with trader-implied odds reflecting that alignment. Advection of cooler maritime air from the northwest, combined with persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly winds, has limited surface heating and kept values close to the late-September climatological average of roughly 21–22°C. Minor model differences on the timing of any breaks in cloud or light precipitation create the secondary probability on 23°C, while cooler readings would require faster or more extensive cooling than current guidance indicates. Updated model runs and official station observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions