Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Tokyo on September 18 most likely between 23–25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle potential, and northerly winds advecting cooler, humid air. High humidity and limited solar insolation under overcast skies suppress daytime warming compared to clearer conditions typical for mid-September, when climatological averages hover near 27°C. Minor differences among 24°C, 25°C, and 23°C outcomes hinge on exact timing of any partial clearing, precipitation intensity, and boundary-layer mixing, with official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and updated model runs expected to refine these details ahead of market resolution. Trader consensus reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日東京氣溫最高？
9月18日東京氣溫最高？
24°C 40%
25°C 33%
23°C 18%
26°C 8%
最新
$10,773 交易量
最新
$10,773 交易量
2026-09-18
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
18%
24°C
40%
25°C
33%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
24°C 40%
25°C 33%
23°C 18%
26°C 8%
最新
$10,773 交易量
最新
$10,773 交易量
2026-09-18
19°C或以下
$1,379 交易量
<1%
20°C
$392 交易量
<1%
21°C
$289 交易量
2%
22°C
$435 交易量
4%
23°C
$2,612 交易量
18%
24°C
$1,407 交易量
40%
25°C
$1,968 交易量
33%
26°C
$726 交易量
8%
27°C
$397 交易量
2%
28°C
$359 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$809 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Tokyo on September 18 most likely between 23–25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle potential, and northerly winds advecting cooler, humid air. High humidity and limited solar insolation under overcast skies suppress daytime warming compared to clearer conditions typical for mid-September, when climatological averages hover near 27°C. Minor differences among 24°C, 25°C, and 23°C outcomes hinge on exact timing of any partial clearing, precipitation intensity, and boundary-layer mixing, with official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and updated model runs expected to refine these details ahead of market resolution. Trader consensus reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,773結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Tokyo on September 18 most likely between 23–25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle potential, and northerly winds advecting cooler, humid air. High humidity and limited solar insolation under overcast skies suppress daytime warming compared to clearer conditions typical for mid-September, when climatological averages hover near 27°C. Minor differences among 24°C, 25°C, and 23°C outcomes hinge on exact timing of any partial clearing, precipitation intensity, and boundary-layer mixing, with official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and updated model runs expected to refine these details ahead of market resolution. Trader consensus reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,773結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Tokyo on September 18 most likely between 23–25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle potential, and northerly winds advecting cooler, humid air. High humidity and limited solar insolation under overcast skies suppress daytime warming compared to clearer conditions typical for mid-September, when climatological averages hover near 27°C. Minor differences among 24°C, 25°C, and 23°C outcomes hinge on exact timing of any partial clearing, precipitation intensity, and boundary-layer mixing, with official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and updated model runs expected to refine these details ahead of market resolution. Trader consensus reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions