**Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and GFS consensus indicate a clear, hot day on September 19 with overnight lows in the mid-70s for Dallas, directly supporting the tight market clustering around 76–79°F bins.** Persistent southerly winds advect warm, moist air from the Gulf, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure and mostly clear skies, while elevated dew points (around 60–65°F) slow temperature drops after sunset. This setup produces typical overnight declines of 20–25°F from afternoon highs near 98–100°F, yielding minima near 76–78°F. Minor variations in wind speed, exact cloud cover, or model timing of any subtle moisture shifts explain the close probabilities between adjacent bins, as even small changes in boundary-layer mixing can shift the low by 1–2°F. No major cool-air intrusion or frontal passage is expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日達拉斯的最低溫度?
78-79°F 53%
82-83°F 36%
76-77°F 24%
80-81°F 21%
67°F或以下
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75華氏度
7%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
53%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
11%
86華氏度或以上
3%
78-79°F 53%
82-83°F 36%
76-77°F 24%
80-81°F 21%
67°F或以下
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75華氏度
7%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
53%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
11%
86華氏度或以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and GFS consensus indicate a clear, hot day on September 19 with overnight lows in the mid-70s for Dallas, directly supporting the tight market clustering around 76–79°F bins.** Persistent southerly winds advect warm, moist air from the Gulf, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure and mostly clear skies, while elevated dew points (around 60–65°F) slow temperature drops after sunset. This setup produces typical overnight declines of 20–25°F from afternoon highs near 98–100°F, yielding minima near 76–78°F. Minor variations in wind speed, exact cloud cover, or model timing of any subtle moisture shifts explain the close probabilities between adjacent bins, as even small changes in boundary-layer mixing can shift the low by 1–2°F. No major cool-air intrusion or frontal passage is expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions