Persistent upper-level ridging over north Texas continues to drive above-normal temperatures across the Dallas area, with National Weather Service and GFS guidance consensus favoring a high of 97–99°F on September 19 under mostly clear skies, southerly flow of 5–10 mph, and low humidity that supports strong daytime heating. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 96–97°F (62%) and 98–99°F (31%), as the ridge’s subsidence suppresses cloud development and maintains elevated 500 mb heights. Historical September averages near 89°F underscore the anomaly, while the low odds assigned to 100°F+ reflect limited potential for further intensification before a weak front begins eroding the ridge later in the weekend.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日達拉斯的最高溫度？
9月19日達拉斯的最高溫度？
96-97°F 62%
98-99華氏度 32%
100-101華氏度 5%
94-95°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
89°F或以下
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
62%
98-99華氏度
32%
100-101華氏度
5%
102-103°F
1%
104-105華氏度
1%
106-107°F
<1%
攝氏108度或以上
<1%
96-97°F 62%
98-99華氏度 32%
100-101華氏度 5%
94-95°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
89°F或以下
$160 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$161 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$104 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$164 交易量
4%
96-97°F
$1,163 交易量
62%
98-99華氏度
$447 交易量
32%
100-101華氏度
$339 交易量
5%
102-103°F
$104 交易量
1%
104-105華氏度
$120 交易量
1%
106-107°F
$137 交易量
<1%
攝氏108度或以上
$111 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level ridging over north Texas continues to drive above-normal temperatures across the Dallas area, with National Weather Service and GFS guidance consensus favoring a high of 97–99°F on September 19 under mostly clear skies, southerly flow of 5–10 mph, and low humidity that supports strong daytime heating. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 96–97°F (62%) and 98–99°F (31%), as the ridge’s subsidence suppresses cloud development and maintains elevated 500 mb heights. Historical September averages near 89°F underscore the anomaly, while the low odds assigned to 100°F+ reflect limited potential for further intensification before a weak front begins eroding the ridge later in the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,011結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level ridging over north Texas continues to drive above-normal temperatures across the Dallas area, with National Weather Service and GFS guidance consensus favoring a high of 97–99°F on September 19 under mostly clear skies, southerly flow of 5–10 mph, and low humidity that supports strong daytime heating. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 96–97°F (62%) and 98–99°F (31%), as the ridge’s subsidence suppresses cloud development and maintains elevated 500 mb heights. Historical September averages near 89°F underscore the anomaly, while the low odds assigned to 100°F+ reflect limited potential for further intensification before a weak front begins eroding the ridge later in the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,011結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETPersistent upper-level ridging over north Texas continues to drive above-normal temperatures across the Dallas area, with National Weather Service and GFS guidance consensus favoring a high of 97–99°F on September 19 under mostly clear skies, southerly flow of 5–10 mph, and low humidity that supports strong daytime heating. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 96–97°F (62%) and 98–99°F (31%), as the ridge’s subsidence suppresses cloud development and maintains elevated 500 mb heights. Historical September averages near 89°F underscore the anomaly, while the low odds assigned to 100°F+ reflect limited potential for further intensification before a weak front begins eroding the ridge later in the weekend.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions