Traders have heavily favored the 76-77°F bin (53% implied probability) for Los Angeles' August 4 high, reflecting a dominant marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific that suppresses daytime warming along the coast and at LAX. NOAA and NWS model consensus points to a stable air mass with minimal ridging, yielding highs several degrees below the seasonal 84°F average. Recent ensemble runs show little deviation, keeping 78-79°F a distant second (29%) while rendering 80°F+ outcomes unlikely absent rapid warming or offshore flow. This setup aligns with typical early-August coastal climatology, where fog and stratus limit solar heating.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日洛杉磯的最高溫度？
8月4日洛杉磯的最高溫度？
76-77°F 51%
78-79°F 28%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 3.6%
$33,835 交易量
$33,835 交易量
2026-08-04
華氏69度或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
51%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 51%
78-79°F 28%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 3.6%
$33,835 交易量
$33,835 交易量
2026-08-04
華氏69度或以下
$889 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$2,205 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$4,705 交易量
3%
74-75°F
$7,805 交易量
7%
76-77°F
$6,356 交易量
51%
78-79°F
$5,751 交易量
28%
80-81°F
$3,734 交易量
4%
82-83°F
$961 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$996 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$217 交易量
<1%
88°F或更高
$217 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have heavily favored the 76-77°F bin (53% implied probability) for Los Angeles' August 4 high, reflecting a dominant marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific that suppresses daytime warming along the coast and at LAX. NOAA and NWS model consensus points to a stable air mass with minimal ridging, yielding highs several degrees below the seasonal 84°F average. Recent ensemble runs show little deviation, keeping 78-79°F a distant second (29%) while rendering 80°F+ outcomes unlikely absent rapid warming or offshore flow. This setup aligns with typical early-August coastal climatology, where fog and stratus limit solar heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$33,835結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have heavily favored the 76-77°F bin (53% implied probability) for Los Angeles' August 4 high, reflecting a dominant marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific that suppresses daytime warming along the coast and at LAX. NOAA and NWS model consensus points to a stable air mass with minimal ridging, yielding highs several degrees below the seasonal 84°F average. Recent ensemble runs show little deviation, keeping 78-79°F a distant second (29%) while rendering 80°F+ outcomes unlikely absent rapid warming or offshore flow. This setup aligns with typical early-August coastal climatology, where fog and stratus limit solar heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,835結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETTraders have heavily favored the 76-77°F bin (53% implied probability) for Los Angeles' August 4 high, reflecting a dominant marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific that suppresses daytime warming along the coast and at LAX. NOAA and NWS model consensus points to a stable air mass with minimal ridging, yielding highs several degrees below the seasonal 84°F average. Recent ensemble runs show little deviation, keeping 78-79°F a distant second (29%) while rendering 80°F+ outcomes unlikely absent rapid warming or offshore flow. This setup aligns with typical early-August coastal climatology, where fog and stratus limit solar heating.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions