Short-term numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst currently project a daytime maximum near 28°C for Munich on August 6, driving the leading 34% market-implied probability for that outcome. Recent warm advection and limited cloud cover have supported similar readings earlier in the week, including a verified 31°C high on August 2. Variability in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon convective development, and small shifts in steering flow create the observed spread across 27°C (22.5%) and 29°C-or-higher (19.5%) buckets. Official station data from the Munich site will resolve the market, underscoring how ensemble spread in temperature forecasts sustains trader uncertainty two days out.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日慕尼黑最高溫度？
8月6日慕尼黑最高溫度？
28°C 34%
27°C 23%
29°C or higher 21%
26°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
17%
27°C
23%
28°C
34%
29°C or higher
21%
28°C 34%
27°C 23%
29°C or higher 21%
26°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
19°C or below
$351 交易量
<1%
20°C
$356 交易量
<1%
21°C
$366 交易量
1%
22°C
$31 交易量
1%
23°C
$27 交易量
1%
24°C
$10 交易量
2%
25°C
$48 交易量
9%
26°C
$74 交易量
17%
27°C
$170 交易量
23%
28°C
$74 交易量
34%
29°C or higher
$366 交易量
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst currently project a daytime maximum near 28°C for Munich on August 6, driving the leading 34% market-implied probability for that outcome. Recent warm advection and limited cloud cover have supported similar readings earlier in the week, including a verified 31°C high on August 2. Variability in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon convective development, and small shifts in steering flow create the observed spread across 27°C (22.5%) and 29°C-or-higher (19.5%) buckets. Official station data from the Munich site will resolve the market, underscoring how ensemble spread in temperature forecasts sustains trader uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,874結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst currently project a daytime maximum near 28°C for Munich on August 6, driving the leading 34% market-implied probability for that outcome. Recent warm advection and limited cloud cover have supported similar readings earlier in the week, including a verified 31°C high on August 2. Variability in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon convective development, and small shifts in steering flow create the observed spread across 27°C (22.5%) and 29°C-or-higher (19.5%) buckets. Official station data from the Munich site will resolve the market, underscoring how ensemble spread in temperature forecasts sustains trader uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,874結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETShort-term numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst currently project a daytime maximum near 28°C for Munich on August 6, driving the leading 34% market-implied probability for that outcome. Recent warm advection and limited cloud cover have supported similar readings earlier in the week, including a verified 31°C high on August 2. Variability in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon convective development, and small shifts in steering flow create the observed spread across 27°C (22.5%) and 29°C-or-higher (19.5%) buckets. Official station data from the Munich site will resolve the market, underscoring how ensemble spread in temperature forecasts sustains trader uncertainty two days out.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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