Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model consensus point to an overnight low near 16°C in Paris on August 6 amid a cooler northerly flow replacing recent heat. Clear skies will allow efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, while modest wind and low dew points limit the extent of the drop. Ensemble spreads between 15°C and 17°C arise mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the frontal passage, keeping the 15°C and 16°C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Updated runs expected overnight and on the morning of the 5th will refine the final minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日巴黎最低溫度？
8月6日巴黎最低溫度？
15°C 40%
16°C 36%
14°C 11%
17°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
12°C或以下
9%
13°C
9%
14°C
11%
15°C
40%
16°C
36%
17°C
11%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C或以上
2%
15°C 40%
16°C 36%
14°C 11%
17°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
12°C或以下
$10 交易量
9%
13°C
$0 交易量
9%
14°C
$0 交易量
11%
15°C
$0 交易量
40%
16°C
$0 交易量
36%
17°C
$0 交易量
11%
18°C
$0 交易量
9%
19°C
$0 交易量
1%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model consensus point to an overnight low near 16°C in Paris on August 6 amid a cooler northerly flow replacing recent heat. Clear skies will allow efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, while modest wind and low dew points limit the extent of the drop. Ensemble spreads between 15°C and 17°C arise mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the frontal passage, keeping the 15°C and 16°C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Updated runs expected overnight and on the morning of the 5th will refine the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$10結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model consensus point to an overnight low near 16°C in Paris on August 6 amid a cooler northerly flow replacing recent heat. Clear skies will allow efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, while modest wind and low dew points limit the extent of the drop. Ensemble spreads between 15°C and 17°C arise mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the frontal passage, keeping the 15°C and 16°C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Updated runs expected overnight and on the morning of the 5th will refine the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model consensus point to an overnight low near 16°C in Paris on August 6 amid a cooler northerly flow replacing recent heat. Clear skies will allow efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, while modest wind and low dew points limit the extent of the drop. Ensemble spreads between 15°C and 17°C arise mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the frontal passage, keeping the 15°C and 16°C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Updated runs expected overnight and on the morning of the 5th will refine the final minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions