Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 4 project a daytime maximum of 28°C, with ensemble models showing a narrow range centered on 27–29°C as a warm air mass begins yielding to more unsettled Atlantic flow. This underpins the tight market clustering, where 29°C holds a slight edge at 36.5% implied probability due to residual high pressure and southerly advection that could sustain peak readings near 29°C before cooling sets in. Key variables include daytime cloud cover, wind shifts, and urban heat-island effects that add 1–2°C locally; historical August maxima average near 24°C, making current conditions unusually warm. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月4日倫敦的最高溫度？
29°C 37%
28°C 31%
27°C 20%
30°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
25°C or below
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
20%
28°C
31%
29°C
37%
30°C
10%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
28°C 31%
27°C 20%
30°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
25°C or below
$181 交易量
1%
26°C
$147 交易量
6%
27°C
$229 交易量
20%
28°C
$236 交易量
31%
29°C
$738 交易量
37%
30°C
$122 交易量
10%
31°C
$111 交易量
3%
32°C
$32 交易量
1%
33°C
$131 交易量
<1%
34°C
$121 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$149 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 4 project a daytime maximum of 28°C, with ensemble models showing a narrow range centered on 27–29°C as a warm air mass begins yielding to more unsettled Atlantic flow. This underpins the tight market clustering, where 29°C holds a slight edge at 36.5% implied probability due to residual high pressure and southerly advection that could sustain peak readings near 29°C before cooling sets in. Key variables include daytime cloud cover, wind shifts, and urban heat-island effects that add 1–2°C locally; historical August maxima average near 24°C, making current conditions unusually warm. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,198結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 4 project a daytime maximum of 28°C, with ensemble models showing a narrow range centered on 27–29°C as a warm air mass begins yielding to more unsettled Atlantic flow. This underpins the tight market clustering, where 29°C holds a slight edge at 36.5% implied probability due to residual high pressure and southerly advection that could sustain peak readings near 29°C before cooling sets in. Key variables include daytime cloud cover, wind shifts, and urban heat-island effects that add 1–2°C locally; historical August maxima average near 24°C, making current conditions unusually warm. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,198結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent Met Office forecasts for London on August 4 project a daytime maximum of 28°C, with ensemble models showing a narrow range centered on 27–29°C as a warm air mass begins yielding to more unsettled Atlantic flow. This underpins the tight market clustering, where 29°C holds a slight edge at 36.5% implied probability due to residual high pressure and southerly advection that could sustain peak readings near 29°C before cooling sets in. Key variables include daytime cloud cover, wind shifts, and urban heat-island effects that add 1–2°C locally; historical August maxima average near 24°C, making current conditions unusually warm. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions