Trader consensus clusters around 20–22°C for Cape Town’s August 4 maximum because short-range model guidance shows typical winter variability from the timing and strength of an approaching cold front. In Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter regime, westerly winds and Atlantic lows often bring increased cloud cover and onshore flow that limits solar heating and caps highs near or below the 17°C seasonal average, while clearer intervals or offshore berg winds allow modest warming. Ensemble spreads remain wide this far ahead of the event, reflecting divergence in predicted frontal speed and marine layer depth, which keeps implied probabilities distributed across the 19–22°C range rather than concentrating on a single outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日開普敦最高溫度？
8月4日開普敦最高溫度？
21°C 25%
22°C 20%
20°C 19%
19°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
18°C或以下
14%
19°C
19%
20°C
19%
21°C
25%
22°C
20%
23°C
7%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C或以上
1%
21°C 25%
22°C 20%
20°C 19%
19°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
18°C或以下
$16 交易量
14%
19°C
$55 交易量
19%
20°C
$22 交易量
19%
21°C
$159 交易量
25%
22°C
$184 交易量
20%
23°C
$191 交易量
7%
24°C
$44 交易量
4%
25°C
$63 交易量
5%
26°C
$126 交易量
<1%
27°C
$10 交易量
1%
28°C或以上
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 20–22°C for Cape Town’s August 4 maximum because short-range model guidance shows typical winter variability from the timing and strength of an approaching cold front. In Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter regime, westerly winds and Atlantic lows often bring increased cloud cover and onshore flow that limits solar heating and caps highs near or below the 17°C seasonal average, while clearer intervals or offshore berg winds allow modest warming. Ensemble spreads remain wide this far ahead of the event, reflecting divergence in predicted frontal speed and marine layer depth, which keeps implied probabilities distributed across the 19–22°C range rather than concentrating on a single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$880結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 20–22°C for Cape Town’s August 4 maximum because short-range model guidance shows typical winter variability from the timing and strength of an approaching cold front. In Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter regime, westerly winds and Atlantic lows often bring increased cloud cover and onshore flow that limits solar heating and caps highs near or below the 17°C seasonal average, while clearer intervals or offshore berg winds allow modest warming. Ensemble spreads remain wide this far ahead of the event, reflecting divergence in predicted frontal speed and marine layer depth, which keeps implied probabilities distributed across the 19–22°C range rather than concentrating on a single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$880結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ETTrader consensus clusters around 20–22°C for Cape Town’s August 4 maximum because short-range model guidance shows typical winter variability from the timing and strength of an approaching cold front. In Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter regime, westerly winds and Atlantic lows often bring increased cloud cover and onshore flow that limits solar heating and caps highs near or below the 17°C seasonal average, while clearer intervals or offshore berg winds allow modest warming. Ensemble spreads remain wide this far ahead of the event, reflecting divergence in predicted frontal speed and marine layer depth, which keeps implied probabilities distributed across the 19–22°C range rather than concentrating on a single outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions