Short-range forecasts from regional models and agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds and sea-breeze moderation for Istanbul on August 4. This aligns closely with August climatology, where long-term average daily maxima hover near 28°C, and recent observations show no significant warm-air advection or heatwave signals that would push readings to 30°C or above. Trader consensus reflected in the 47% and 35.5% implied probabilities for 28°C and 29°C therefore tracks these steady atmospheric patterns, with limited upside risk from model spreads or unexpected boundary-layer heating before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月4日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
28°C 47%
29°C 36%
30°C 15%
27°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
47%
29°C
36%
30°C
15%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
28°C 47%
29°C 36%
30°C 15%
27°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
24°C or below
$43 交易量
<1%
25°C
$59 交易量
1%
26°C
$41 交易量
2%
27°C
$47 交易量
4%
28°C
$121 交易量
47%
29°C
$25 交易量
36%
30°C
$153 交易量
15%
31°C
$18 交易量
2%
32°C
$20 交易量
2%
33°C
$30 交易量
2%
34°C or higher
$10 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from regional models and agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds and sea-breeze moderation for Istanbul on August 4. This aligns closely with August climatology, where long-term average daily maxima hover near 28°C, and recent observations show no significant warm-air advection or heatwave signals that would push readings to 30°C or above. Trader consensus reflected in the 47% and 35.5% implied probabilities for 28°C and 29°C therefore tracks these steady atmospheric patterns, with limited upside risk from model spreads or unexpected boundary-layer heating before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$567結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from regional models and agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds and sea-breeze moderation for Istanbul on August 4. This aligns closely with August climatology, where long-term average daily maxima hover near 28°C, and recent observations show no significant warm-air advection or heatwave signals that would push readings to 30°C or above. Trader consensus reflected in the 47% and 35.5% implied probabilities for 28°C and 29°C therefore tracks these steady atmospheric patterns, with limited upside risk from model spreads or unexpected boundary-layer heating before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$567結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from regional models and agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds and sea-breeze moderation for Istanbul on August 4. This aligns closely with August climatology, where long-term average daily maxima hover near 28°C, and recent observations show no significant warm-air advection or heatwave signals that would push readings to 30°C or above. Trader consensus reflected in the 47% and 35.5% implied probabilities for 28°C and 29°C therefore tracks these steady atmospheric patterns, with limited upside risk from model spreads or unexpected boundary-layer heating before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions