Recent official forecasts from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather point to minimum temperatures near 27–28°C in Seoul and Incheon on August 4, driven by persistent summer heat under high-pressure dominance with limited overnight cooling from elevated humidity and minimal frontal activity. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 24–25°C, but current model consensus reflects above-normal warmth extending from early-month patterns without typhoon or monsoon influences to moderate conditions. The Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range guidance aligns with these warm-night scenarios, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C as the leading outcome while leaving room for minor revisions from the next model cycle or local observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日首爾(仁川)最低溫度?
27°C 54%
28°C 28%
26°C 20%
29°C 7%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
20%
27°C
54%
28°C
28%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 54%
28°C 28%
26°C 20%
29°C 7%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
20%
27°C
54%
28°C
28%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather point to minimum temperatures near 27–28°C in Seoul and Incheon on August 4, driven by persistent summer heat under high-pressure dominance with limited overnight cooling from elevated humidity and minimal frontal activity. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 24–25°C, but current model consensus reflects above-normal warmth extending from early-month patterns without typhoon or monsoon influences to moderate conditions. The Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range guidance aligns with these warm-night scenarios, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C as the leading outcome while leaving room for minor revisions from the next model cycle or local observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions