Latest meteorological guidance from models like ECMWF and GFS points to a typical early-August pattern over Beijing, with southerly flow and moderate humidity supporting daytime highs near 32–34°C on August 2, tempered by possible afternoon thunderstorms that could cap the peak. Trader consensus clusters around 33–35°C because ensemble spreads remain modest on timing of convection and cloud cover, while historical analogs from recent summers show similar conditions rarely exceeding 36°C without stronger high-pressure ridging. Official China Meteorological Administration monitoring and urban station data will resolve the exact maximum, with slight upward bias possible from the heat-island effect in central districts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日北京最高溫度？
8月2日北京最高溫度？
34°C 33%
35°C 25%
33°C 21%
32°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
29°C或以下
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
9%
33°C
21%
34°C
33%
35°C
25%
36°C
9%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C或以上
<1%
34°C 33%
35°C 25%
33°C 21%
32°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
29°C或以下
$976 交易量
1%
30°C
$520 交易量
2%
31°C
$812 交易量
5%
32°C
$349 交易量
9%
33°C
$550 交易量
21%
34°C
$266 交易量
33%
35°C
$884 交易量
25%
36°C
$1,430 交易量
9%
37°C
$884 交易量
2%
38°C
$91 交易量
1%
39°C或以上
$245 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological guidance from models like ECMWF and GFS points to a typical early-August pattern over Beijing, with southerly flow and moderate humidity supporting daytime highs near 32–34°C on August 2, tempered by possible afternoon thunderstorms that could cap the peak. Trader consensus clusters around 33–35°C because ensemble spreads remain modest on timing of convection and cloud cover, while historical analogs from recent summers show similar conditions rarely exceeding 36°C without stronger high-pressure ridging. Official China Meteorological Administration monitoring and urban station data will resolve the exact maximum, with slight upward bias possible from the heat-island effect in central districts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$7,007結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological guidance from models like ECMWF and GFS points to a typical early-August pattern over Beijing, with southerly flow and moderate humidity supporting daytime highs near 32–34°C on August 2, tempered by possible afternoon thunderstorms that could cap the peak. Trader consensus clusters around 33–35°C because ensemble spreads remain modest on timing of convection and cloud cover, while historical analogs from recent summers show similar conditions rarely exceeding 36°C without stronger high-pressure ridging. Official China Meteorological Administration monitoring and urban station data will resolve the exact maximum, with slight upward bias possible from the heat-island effect in central districts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,007結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETLatest meteorological guidance from models like ECMWF and GFS points to a typical early-August pattern over Beijing, with southerly flow and moderate humidity supporting daytime highs near 32–34°C on August 2, tempered by possible afternoon thunderstorms that could cap the peak. Trader consensus clusters around 33–35°C because ensemble spreads remain modest on timing of convection and cloud cover, while historical analogs from recent summers show similar conditions rarely exceeding 36°C without stronger high-pressure ridging. Official China Meteorological Administration monitoring and urban station data will resolve the exact maximum, with slight upward bias possible from the heat-island effect in central districts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions