Current forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and the Met Office project a minimum temperature near 21°C in Paris on August 4, driven by a stable high-pressure system with light winds and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–22°C because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, or urban heat-island retention can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Clearer conditions would favor the lower tail (≤20°C) through enhanced long-wave radiation loss, while increased moisture or calm winds would support the higher side near 22°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日巴黎最低溫度？
8月4日巴黎最低溫度？
21°C 36%
22°C 31%
20°C或以下 23%
23°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
20°C或以下
23%
21°C
36%
22°C
31%
23°C
12%
24°C
7%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
21°C 36%
22°C 31%
20°C或以下 23%
23°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
20°C或以下
$137 交易量
23%
21°C
$187 交易量
36%
22°C
$86 交易量
31%
23°C
$212 交易量
12%
24°C
$122 交易量
7%
25°C
$36 交易量
1%
26°C
$75 交易量
<1%
27°C
$71 交易量
<1%
28°C
$81 交易量
<1%
29°C
$81 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$59 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and the Met Office project a minimum temperature near 21°C in Paris on August 4, driven by a stable high-pressure system with light winds and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–22°C because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, or urban heat-island retention can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Clearer conditions would favor the lower tail (≤20°C) through enhanced long-wave radiation loss, while increased moisture or calm winds would support the higher side near 22°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,148結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and the Met Office project a minimum temperature near 21°C in Paris on August 4, driven by a stable high-pressure system with light winds and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–22°C because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, or urban heat-island retention can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Clearer conditions would favor the lower tail (≤20°C) through enhanced long-wave radiation loss, while increased moisture or calm winds would support the higher side near 22°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,148結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and the Met Office project a minimum temperature near 21°C in Paris on August 4, driven by a stable high-pressure system with light winds and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–22°C because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, or urban heat-island retention can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Clearer conditions would favor the lower tail (≤20°C) through enhanced long-wave radiation loss, while increased moisture or calm winds would support the higher side near 22°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions