Latest forecast models point to increased cloud cover and potential showers across Chongqing on August 2, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima near or below seasonal averages around 32–34°C. This aligns with the market’s strong 71.5% implied probability on 33°C or below, as traders weigh typical early-August monsoon influences—high humidity, basin topography, and convective storms—that frequently moderate peaks despite the region’s reputation for intense summer heat. Historical data show similar conditions often prevent extremes above 35°C unless clear, stable air masses dominate. New observational updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and refined model runs expected overnight will provide the next key inputs for trader reassessment before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日重慶氣溫最高？
8月2日重慶氣溫最高？
33°C or below 72%
34°C 18%
35°C 10%
36°C 4%
最新
$22,379 交易量
最新
$22,379 交易量
2026-08-02
33°C or below
72%
34°C
18%
35°C
10%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C或以上
<1%
33°C or below 72%
34°C 18%
35°C 10%
36°C 4%
最新
$22,379 交易量
最新
$22,379 交易量
2026-08-02
33°C or below
$5,663 交易量
72%
34°C
$1,526 交易量
18%
35°C
$2,156 交易量
10%
36°C
$974 交易量
4%
37°C
$2,978 交易量
1%
38°C
$4,108 交易量
<1%
39°C
$2,408 交易量
<1%
40°C
$1,322 交易量
<1%
41°C
$282 交易量
<1%
42°C
$484 交易量
<1%
43°C或以上
$479 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models point to increased cloud cover and potential showers across Chongqing on August 2, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima near or below seasonal averages around 32–34°C. This aligns with the market’s strong 71.5% implied probability on 33°C or below, as traders weigh typical early-August monsoon influences—high humidity, basin topography, and convective storms—that frequently moderate peaks despite the region’s reputation for intense summer heat. Historical data show similar conditions often prevent extremes above 35°C unless clear, stable air masses dominate. New observational updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and refined model runs expected overnight will provide the next key inputs for trader reassessment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$22,379結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models point to increased cloud cover and potential showers across Chongqing on August 2, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima near or below seasonal averages around 32–34°C. This aligns with the market’s strong 71.5% implied probability on 33°C or below, as traders weigh typical early-August monsoon influences—high humidity, basin topography, and convective storms—that frequently moderate peaks despite the region’s reputation for intense summer heat. Historical data show similar conditions often prevent extremes above 35°C unless clear, stable air masses dominate. New observational updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and refined model runs expected overnight will provide the next key inputs for trader reassessment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,379結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETLatest forecast models point to increased cloud cover and potential showers across Chongqing on August 2, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima near or below seasonal averages around 32–34°C. This aligns with the market’s strong 71.5% implied probability on 33°C or below, as traders weigh typical early-August monsoon influences—high humidity, basin topography, and convective storms—that frequently moderate peaks despite the region’s reputation for intense summer heat. Historical data show similar conditions often prevent extremes above 35°C unless clear, stable air masses dominate. New observational updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and refined model runs expected overnight will provide the next key inputs for trader reassessment before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions