Ongoing heat influenced by the North Pacific High continues to drive elevated temperatures across southeastern South Korea, with Busan recording 39°C on August 1 and nearby areas exceeding 40°C in late July. Short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and models indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C for August 4 under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation, consistent with typical August climatology of 29–31°C averages but shifted upward by the persistent subtropical ridge. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential before any frontal passage, positioning 34°C as the market-implied mode while uncertainty in exact steering flows and urban heat effects supports secondary odds around 35°C. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日釜山的最高溫度？
8月4日釜山的最高溫度？
34°C 38%
35°C 25%
33°C 18%
36°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
31°C or below
4%
32°C
5%
33°C
18%
34°C
38%
35°C
25%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C或更高
<1%
34°C 38%
35°C 25%
33°C 18%
36°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
31°C or below
$117 交易量
4%
32°C
$113 交易量
5%
33°C
$124 交易量
18%
34°C
$620 交易量
38%
35°C
$114 交易量
25%
36°C
$229 交易量
10%
37°C
$144 交易量
3%
38°C
$163 交易量
3%
39°C
$10 交易量
1%
40°C
$145 交易量
<1%
41°C或更高
$359 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat influenced by the North Pacific High continues to drive elevated temperatures across southeastern South Korea, with Busan recording 39°C on August 1 and nearby areas exceeding 40°C in late July. Short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and models indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C for August 4 under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation, consistent with typical August climatology of 29–31°C averages but shifted upward by the persistent subtropical ridge. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential before any frontal passage, positioning 34°C as the market-implied mode while uncertainty in exact steering flows and urban heat effects supports secondary odds around 35°C. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$2,138結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat influenced by the North Pacific High continues to drive elevated temperatures across southeastern South Korea, with Busan recording 39°C on August 1 and nearby areas exceeding 40°C in late July. Short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and models indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C for August 4 under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation, consistent with typical August climatology of 29–31°C averages but shifted upward by the persistent subtropical ridge. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential before any frontal passage, positioning 34°C as the market-implied mode while uncertainty in exact steering flows and urban heat effects supports secondary odds around 35°C. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,138結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETOngoing heat influenced by the North Pacific High continues to drive elevated temperatures across southeastern South Korea, with Busan recording 39°C on August 1 and nearby areas exceeding 40°C in late July. Short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and models indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C for August 4 under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation, consistent with typical August climatology of 29–31°C averages but shifted upward by the persistent subtropical ridge. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential before any frontal passage, positioning 34°C as the market-implied mode while uncertainty in exact steering flows and urban heat effects supports secondary odds around 35°C. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions