Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a likely high near 31°C in Chongqing on August 4, driven by increased cloud cover and potential scattered precipitation that would moderate peak heating in the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Traders assign the highest implied probability (44.5%) to this outcome, consistent with early-August climatology showing average highs of 32–34°C tempered by seasonal moisture influx from the East Asian monsoon. Recent observations of localized cooling trends and model consensus on reduced insolation support the clustering around 30–32°C, though variability in steering patterns or delayed rainfall could shift results toward 33°C or higher if conditions remain clearer. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日重慶氣溫最高？
8月4日重慶氣溫最高？
31°C 41%
30°C 22%
32°C 19%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
27°C或以下
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
22%
31°C
41%
32°C
19%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
31°C 41%
30°C 22%
32°C 19%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
27°C或以下
$143 交易量
2%
28°C
$84 交易量
4%
29°C
$81 交易量
8%
30°C
$166 交易量
22%
31°C
$204 交易量
41%
32°C
$92 交易量
19%
33°C
$216 交易量
6%
34°C
$159 交易量
2%
35°C
$707 交易量
1%
36°C
$52 交易量
<1%
37°C或更高
$220 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a likely high near 31°C in Chongqing on August 4, driven by increased cloud cover and potential scattered precipitation that would moderate peak heating in the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Traders assign the highest implied probability (44.5%) to this outcome, consistent with early-August climatology showing average highs of 32–34°C tempered by seasonal moisture influx from the East Asian monsoon. Recent observations of localized cooling trends and model consensus on reduced insolation support the clustering around 30–32°C, though variability in steering patterns or delayed rainfall could shift results toward 33°C or higher if conditions remain clearer. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,124結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a likely high near 31°C in Chongqing on August 4, driven by increased cloud cover and potential scattered precipitation that would moderate peak heating in the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Traders assign the highest implied probability (44.5%) to this outcome, consistent with early-August climatology showing average highs of 32–34°C tempered by seasonal moisture influx from the East Asian monsoon. Recent observations of localized cooling trends and model consensus on reduced insolation support the clustering around 30–32°C, though variability in steering patterns or delayed rainfall could shift results toward 33°C or higher if conditions remain clearer. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,124結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a likely high near 31°C in Chongqing on August 4, driven by increased cloud cover and potential scattered precipitation that would moderate peak heating in the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Traders assign the highest implied probability (44.5%) to this outcome, consistent with early-August climatology showing average highs of 32–34°C tempered by seasonal moisture influx from the East Asian monsoon. Recent observations of localized cooling trends and model consensus on reduced insolation support the clustering around 30–32°C, though variability in steering patterns or delayed rainfall could shift results toward 33°C or higher if conditions remain clearer. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions