Recent short-term forecast models for Chengdu point to peak temperatures near 31–33°C on August 3, reflecting typical early-August monsoon conditions with high humidity and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Overcast skies and thunderstorm activity in the preceding days have reduced solar radiation reaching the surface, keeping values below the 34–35°C occasionally seen in clear-heat episodes. The Sichuan Basin’s topography traps moist air and moderates extremes, while model consensus on cloud cover versus partial clearing creates tight clustering around the 31–33°C outcomes. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日成都最高溫度?
32°C 29%
33°C 25%
34°C 22%
31°C 21%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
12%
30°C
16%
31°C
21%
32°C
29%
33°C
25%
34°C
13%
35°C
7%
36°C或以上
16%
32°C 29%
33°C 25%
34°C 22%
31°C 21%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
12%
30°C
16%
31°C
21%
32°C
29%
33°C
25%
34°C
13%
35°C
7%
36°C或以上
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-term forecast models for Chengdu point to peak temperatures near 31–33°C on August 3, reflecting typical early-August monsoon conditions with high humidity and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Overcast skies and thunderstorm activity in the preceding days have reduced solar radiation reaching the surface, keeping values below the 34–35°C occasionally seen in clear-heat episodes. The Sichuan Basin’s topography traps moist air and moderates extremes, while model consensus on cloud cover versus partial clearing creates tight clustering around the 31–33°C outcomes. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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