Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to thunderstorms and rain on August 3 moderating peak temperatures amid ongoing subtropical monsoon conditions and elevated humidity levels near 80-85%. Official outlooks and historical August patterns show typical highs around 30-32°C, yet convective activity and cloud cover favor outcomes clustered at 27-29°C, aligning with market-implied odds where these three lead. Key differentiators include the timing and intensity of any sea-breeze effects or localized downpours, which can cap afternoon maxima by 1-3°C compared to clearer days, while broader regional warming trends and typhoon-season moisture sustain the narrow spread across nearby bins. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日深圳最高溫度?
29°C 31%
28°C 24%
30°C 19%
27°C 18%
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
18%
28°C
24%
29°C
31%
30°C
19%
31°C
10%
32°C
6%
33°C或以上
4%
29°C 31%
28°C 24%
30°C 19%
27°C 18%
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
18%
28°C
24%
29°C
31%
30°C
19%
31°C
10%
32°C
6%
33°C或以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to thunderstorms and rain on August 3 moderating peak temperatures amid ongoing subtropical monsoon conditions and elevated humidity levels near 80-85%. Official outlooks and historical August patterns show typical highs around 30-32°C, yet convective activity and cloud cover favor outcomes clustered at 27-29°C, aligning with market-implied odds where these three lead. Key differentiators include the timing and intensity of any sea-breeze effects or localized downpours, which can cap afternoon maxima by 1-3°C compared to clearer days, while broader regional warming trends and typhoon-season moisture sustain the narrow spread across nearby bins. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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