Recent ensemble forecast runs from European and global models show a ridge of high pressure promoting mostly clear skies and light winds over central Poland, favoring peak temperatures of 28–31°C on August 3 in Warsaw. This range aligns with climatological peaks for early August while incorporating modest urban heat-island amplification. Key differentiating factors include afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth, exact timing of any thin high cloud, and small variations in 850 hPa temperatures across model members, which create the narrow spread seen in market-implied odds. Updated high-resolution runs from the ECMWF and GFS, expected within the next 24 hours, will further constrain the precise maximum before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日華沙的最高溫度？
8月3日華沙的最高溫度？
29°C 29%
30°C 24%
28°C 19%
27°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
13%
28°C
19%
29°C
29%
30°C
24%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C
7%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 29%
30°C 24%
28°C 19%
27°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
25°C or below
$5 交易量
1%
26°C
$20 交易量
4%
27°C
$0 交易量
13%
28°C
$0 交易量
19%
29°C
$7 交易量
29%
30°C
$0 交易量
24%
31°C
$0 交易量
13%
32°C
$0 交易量
4%
33°C
$20 交易量
7%
34°C
$20 交易量
6%
35°C or higher
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecast runs from European and global models show a ridge of high pressure promoting mostly clear skies and light winds over central Poland, favoring peak temperatures of 28–31°C on August 3 in Warsaw. This range aligns with climatological peaks for early August while incorporating modest urban heat-island amplification. Key differentiating factors include afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth, exact timing of any thin high cloud, and small variations in 850 hPa temperatures across model members, which create the narrow spread seen in market-implied odds. Updated high-resolution runs from the ECMWF and GFS, expected within the next 24 hours, will further constrain the precise maximum before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$87結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecast runs from European and global models show a ridge of high pressure promoting mostly clear skies and light winds over central Poland, favoring peak temperatures of 28–31°C on August 3 in Warsaw. This range aligns with climatological peaks for early August while incorporating modest urban heat-island amplification. Key differentiating factors include afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth, exact timing of any thin high cloud, and small variations in 850 hPa temperatures across model members, which create the narrow spread seen in market-implied odds. Updated high-resolution runs from the ECMWF and GFS, expected within the next 24 hours, will further constrain the precise maximum before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$87結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecast runs from European and global models show a ridge of high pressure promoting mostly clear skies and light winds over central Poland, favoring peak temperatures of 28–31°C on August 3 in Warsaw. This range aligns with climatological peaks for early August while incorporating modest urban heat-island amplification. Key differentiating factors include afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth, exact timing of any thin high cloud, and small variations in 850 hPa temperatures across model members, which create the narrow spread seen in market-implied odds. Updated high-resolution runs from the ECMWF and GFS, expected within the next 24 hours, will further constrain the precise maximum before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions