Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA Global Forecast System show Warsaw’s August 6 maximum likely reaching 33–35 °C under a ridge of high pressure and southerly warm-air advection. Clear skies and strong daytime insolation favor the higher end, while modest boundary-layer moisture and possible late-day cloud cover or a weak front keep 32 °C competitive. Historical August extremes near 35 °C and current soil-moisture deficits that enhance sensible heating further support trader focus on the 32–34 °C cluster, where updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours will most directly influence implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日華沙的最高溫度？
8月6日華沙的最高溫度？
32°C 29%
33°C 25%
34°C 18%
31°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
29°C或以下
6%
30°C
5%
31°C
7%
32°C
29%
33°C
25%
34°C
18%
35°C
13%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C或更高
1%
32°C 29%
33°C 25%
34°C 18%
31°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
29°C或以下
$132 交易量
6%
30°C
$129 交易量
5%
31°C
$55 交易量
7%
32°C
$35 交易量
29%
33°C
$30 交易量
25%
34°C
$29 交易量
18%
35°C
$75 交易量
13%
36°C
$15 交易量
3%
37°C
$21 交易量
2%
38°C
$21 交易量
1%
39°C或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA Global Forecast System show Warsaw’s August 6 maximum likely reaching 33–35 °C under a ridge of high pressure and southerly warm-air advection. Clear skies and strong daytime insolation favor the higher end, while modest boundary-layer moisture and possible late-day cloud cover or a weak front keep 32 °C competitive. Historical August extremes near 35 °C and current soil-moisture deficits that enhance sensible heating further support trader focus on the 32–34 °C cluster, where updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours will most directly influence implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$547結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA Global Forecast System show Warsaw’s August 6 maximum likely reaching 33–35 °C under a ridge of high pressure and southerly warm-air advection. Clear skies and strong daytime insolation favor the higher end, while modest boundary-layer moisture and possible late-day cloud cover or a weak front keep 32 °C competitive. Historical August extremes near 35 °C and current soil-moisture deficits that enhance sensible heating further support trader focus on the 32–34 °C cluster, where updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours will most directly influence implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$547結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA Global Forecast System show Warsaw’s August 6 maximum likely reaching 33–35 °C under a ridge of high pressure and southerly warm-air advection. Clear skies and strong daytime insolation favor the higher end, while modest boundary-layer moisture and possible late-day cloud cover or a weak front keep 32 °C competitive. Historical August extremes near 35 °C and current soil-moisture deficits that enhance sensible heating further support trader focus on the 32–34 °C cluster, where updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours will most directly influence implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions