Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate daytime highs of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 6, aligning with the market's leading outcomes and reflecting typical early-August conditions under moderate westerly flow and partly sunny skies. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with no strong high-pressure ridge or Atlantic low expected to drive significant deviations. Historical climatology places average August maxima near 21–22°C, providing context for why traders assign over 80% combined probability to this narrow band. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this consensus, leaving little room for outlier temperatures without rapid synoptic changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月6日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
21°C 36%
20°C 25%
22°C 22%
19°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
9%
20°C
25%
21°C
36%
22°C
22%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
21°C 36%
20°C 25%
22°C 22%
19°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
17°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
18°C
$52 交易量
6%
19°C
$0 交易量
9%
20°C
$0 交易量
25%
21°C
$19 交易量
36%
22°C
$0 交易量
22%
23°C
$0 交易量
6%
24°C
$22 交易量
2%
25°C
$10 交易量
2%
26°C
$0 交易量
<1%
27°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate daytime highs of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 6, aligning with the market's leading outcomes and reflecting typical early-August conditions under moderate westerly flow and partly sunny skies. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with no strong high-pressure ridge or Atlantic low expected to drive significant deviations. Historical climatology places average August maxima near 21–22°C, providing context for why traders assign over 80% combined probability to this narrow band. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this consensus, leaving little room for outlier temperatures without rapid synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$102結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate daytime highs of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 6, aligning with the market's leading outcomes and reflecting typical early-August conditions under moderate westerly flow and partly sunny skies. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with no strong high-pressure ridge or Atlantic low expected to drive significant deviations. Historical climatology places average August maxima near 21–22°C, providing context for why traders assign over 80% combined probability to this narrow band. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this consensus, leaving little room for outlier temperatures without rapid synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$102結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate daytime highs of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 6, aligning with the market's leading outcomes and reflecting typical early-August conditions under moderate westerly flow and partly sunny skies. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with no strong high-pressure ridge or Atlantic low expected to drive significant deviations. Historical climatology places average August maxima near 21–22°C, providing context for why traders assign over 80% combined probability to this narrow band. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this consensus, leaving little room for outlier temperatures without rapid synoptic changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions