Recent model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble runs points to a southerly flow advecting milder air masses, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 22–23 °C on August 6 with limited diurnal range due to increasing cloud cover and possible showers. This places the highest temperature squarely in the 23–25 °C range that currently commands roughly 85 % of market-implied probability, consistent with climatological August averages around 19–20 °C yet elevated by the latest short-range guidance. Forecast uncertainty remains modest two days out, though any strengthening of high pressure or clearer skies could push readings toward the upper end of that band, while greater precipitation would favor the lower side.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日赫爾辛基的最高溫度?
24°C 39%
23°C 27%
25°C 20%
22°C 7%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
27%
24°C
39%
25°C
20%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C或更高
1%
24°C 39%
23°C 27%
25°C 20%
22°C 7%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
27%
24°C
39%
25°C
20%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble runs points to a southerly flow advecting milder air masses, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 22–23 °C on August 6 with limited diurnal range due to increasing cloud cover and possible showers. This places the highest temperature squarely in the 23–25 °C range that currently commands roughly 85 % of market-implied probability, consistent with climatological August averages around 19–20 °C yet elevated by the latest short-range guidance. Forecast uncertainty remains modest two days out, though any strengthening of high pressure or clearer skies could push readings toward the upper end of that band, while greater precipitation would favor the lower side.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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