Recent forecasts from models like those used by NOAA and European agencies indicate Moscow's August 6 high will likely peak near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, following observed readings of 30.7°C on August 2 amid a regional ridge of high pressure. This setup favors modest daytime heating without strong advection of cooler air or significant cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Traders weigh subtle differences in ensemble spreads—such as slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island effects amplifying readings at official stations, and potential for brief showers that could cap the maximum—creating tight probabilities between the leading outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether the peak settles at or above 30°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日莫斯科最高溫度？
8月6日莫斯科最高溫度？
29°C 31%
30°C 27%
28°C 15%
27°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
23°C或以下
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
6%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
15%
29°C
31%
30°C
27%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C或以上
2%
29°C 31%
30°C 27%
28°C 15%
27°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
23°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
24°C
$0 交易量
5%
25°C
$21 交易量
6%
26°C
$5 交易量
4%
27°C
$0 交易量
12%
28°C
$0 交易量
15%
29°C
$0 交易量
31%
30°C
$0 交易量
27%
31°C
$0 交易量
5%
32°C
$10 交易量
4%
33°C或以上
$6 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those used by NOAA and European agencies indicate Moscow's August 6 high will likely peak near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, following observed readings of 30.7°C on August 2 amid a regional ridge of high pressure. This setup favors modest daytime heating without strong advection of cooler air or significant cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Traders weigh subtle differences in ensemble spreads—such as slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island effects amplifying readings at official stations, and potential for brief showers that could cap the maximum—creating tight probabilities between the leading outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether the peak settles at or above 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$42結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those used by NOAA and European agencies indicate Moscow's August 6 high will likely peak near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, following observed readings of 30.7°C on August 2 amid a regional ridge of high pressure. This setup favors modest daytime heating without strong advection of cooler air or significant cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Traders weigh subtle differences in ensemble spreads—such as slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island effects amplifying readings at official stations, and potential for brief showers that could cap the maximum—creating tight probabilities between the leading outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether the peak settles at or above 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$42結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like those used by NOAA and European agencies indicate Moscow's August 6 high will likely peak near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, following observed readings of 30.7°C on August 2 amid a regional ridge of high pressure. This setup favors modest daytime heating without strong advection of cooler air or significant cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Traders weigh subtle differences in ensemble spreads—such as slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island effects amplifying readings at official stations, and potential for brief showers that could cap the maximum—creating tight probabilities between the leading outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether the peak settles at or above 30°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions