Current forecasts from sources like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and extended models point to a mild late-summer pattern over Helsinki, with daytime highs most likely near 19–21 °C on August 5 amid variable cloud cover and possible late showers. These conditions arise from moderate southwesterly flow across the Baltic Sea, which limits strong warming while increasing humidity and the chance of convective activity that can cap peak temperatures. The near-even market probabilities for 21 °C and 22 °C versus 20 °C reflect model uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any brief clearing that could allow an extra degree or two of insolation. Historical August climatology shows similar variability, with daily maxima fluctuating 3–4 °C around the 20 °C mean depending on synoptic steering and sea-surface temperatures. Updated high-resolution runs and morning observations will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日赫爾辛基的最高溫度?
21°C 33%
22°C 27%
20°C 24%
19°C 11%
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
11%
20°C
24%
21°C
33%
22°C
27%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
21°C 33%
22°C 27%
20°C 24%
19°C 11%
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
11%
20°C
24%
21°C
33%
22°C
27%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from sources like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and extended models point to a mild late-summer pattern over Helsinki, with daytime highs most likely near 19–21 °C on August 5 amid variable cloud cover and possible late showers. These conditions arise from moderate southwesterly flow across the Baltic Sea, which limits strong warming while increasing humidity and the chance of convective activity that can cap peak temperatures. The near-even market probabilities for 21 °C and 22 °C versus 20 °C reflect model uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any brief clearing that could allow an extra degree or two of insolation. Historical August climatology shows similar variability, with daily maxima fluctuating 3–4 °C around the 20 °C mean depending on synoptic steering and sea-surface temperatures. Updated high-resolution runs and morning observations will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions