Current extended forecasts for Chengdu point to a high near 33–34°C on August 5 under partly cloudy skies and monsoon moisture, keeping the market split among the top three outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms typically cap peak readings by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and light winds can push temperatures toward the upper end of the range if convection remains limited. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by steering patterns and moisture flux; any shift toward clearer skies or stronger subsidence would favor 35°C or higher, whereas increased rain probability would anchor the outcome nearer 33°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日成都最高溫度？
8月5日成都最高溫度？
34°C 33%
35°C or higher 28%
33°C 25%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
6%
32°C
12%
33°C
25%
34°C
33%
35°C or higher
28%
34°C 33%
35°C or higher 28%
33°C 25%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
25°C or below
$409 交易量
<1%
26°C
$121 交易量
<1%
27°C
$88 交易量
<1%
28°C
$20 交易量
2%
29°C
$30 交易量
2%
30°C
$353 交易量
4%
31°C
$226 交易量
6%
32°C
$114 交易量
12%
33°C
$234 交易量
25%
34°C
$2,276 交易量
33%
35°C or higher
$310 交易量
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current extended forecasts for Chengdu point to a high near 33–34°C on August 5 under partly cloudy skies and monsoon moisture, keeping the market split among the top three outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms typically cap peak readings by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and light winds can push temperatures toward the upper end of the range if convection remains limited. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by steering patterns and moisture flux; any shift toward clearer skies or stronger subsidence would favor 35°C or higher, whereas increased rain probability would anchor the outcome nearer 33°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$4,180結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current extended forecasts for Chengdu point to a high near 33–34°C on August 5 under partly cloudy skies and monsoon moisture, keeping the market split among the top three outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms typically cap peak readings by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and light winds can push temperatures toward the upper end of the range if convection remains limited. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by steering patterns and moisture flux; any shift toward clearer skies or stronger subsidence would favor 35°C or higher, whereas increased rain probability would anchor the outcome nearer 33°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,180結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETCurrent extended forecasts for Chengdu point to a high near 33–34°C on August 5 under partly cloudy skies and monsoon moisture, keeping the market split among the top three outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms typically cap peak readings by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and light winds can push temperatures toward the upper end of the range if convection remains limited. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by steering patterns and moisture flux; any shift toward clearer skies or stronger subsidence would favor 35°C or higher, whereas increased rain probability would anchor the outcome nearer 33°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions