Recent heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system and minimal monsoon influence, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C for Incheon’s morning low on August 5. Official KMA guidance and ensemble models indicate overnight minima near 27°C amid elevated humidity and light winds, with urban heat retention in the Seoul-Incheon corridor limiting radiative cooling. Differentiation among leading outcomes stems from uncertainty in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and exact 3–9 a.m. window observations, which can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Updated KMA short-range forecasts and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
8月5日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
27°C 42%
28°C 34%
26°C 16%
29°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
16%
27°C
42%
28°C
34%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
28°C 34%
26°C 16%
29°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
22°C or below
$79 交易量
1%
23°C
$247 交易量
1%
24°C
$143 交易量
1%
25°C
$92 交易量
2%
26°C
$241 交易量
16%
27°C
$120 交易量
42%
28°C
$466 交易量
34%
29°C
$155 交易量
7%
30°C
$87 交易量
1%
31°C
$80 交易量
1%
32°C or higher
$110 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system and minimal monsoon influence, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C for Incheon’s morning low on August 5. Official KMA guidance and ensemble models indicate overnight minima near 27°C amid elevated humidity and light winds, with urban heat retention in the Seoul-Incheon corridor limiting radiative cooling. Differentiation among leading outcomes stems from uncertainty in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and exact 3–9 a.m. window observations, which can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Updated KMA short-range forecasts and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,821結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system and minimal monsoon influence, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C for Incheon’s morning low on August 5. Official KMA guidance and ensemble models indicate overnight minima near 27°C amid elevated humidity and light winds, with urban heat retention in the Seoul-Incheon corridor limiting radiative cooling. Differentiation among leading outcomes stems from uncertainty in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and exact 3–9 a.m. window observations, which can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Updated KMA short-range forecasts and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,821結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system and minimal monsoon influence, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C for Incheon’s morning low on August 5. Official KMA guidance and ensemble models indicate overnight minima near 27°C amid elevated humidity and light winds, with urban heat retention in the Seoul-Incheon corridor limiting radiative cooling. Differentiation among leading outcomes stems from uncertainty in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and exact 3–9 a.m. window observations, which can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Updated KMA short-range forecasts and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions