Recent high-temperature warnings from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory, upgraded to orange level on August 1, form the main driver behind current market-implied odds. Official forecasts project maximum temperatures of 37–39°C across northern Qingdao from August 2–5, with localized spots potentially exceeding 40°C and surrounding areas at 34–36°C, reflecting persistent heat under high humidity and limited sea-breeze moderation. These conditions contrast with typical August climatology of 29–31°C daily highs, elevating the chance of 35°C as the modal outcome while supporting meaningful probability on 36°C or higher. Updated model runs and ongoing surveillance through the warning period will determine whether coastal influences or any late cooling shift the distribution before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日青島氣溫最高？
8月5日青島氣溫最高？
35°C 44%
34°C 28%
36°C或以上 25%
33°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
28%
35°C
44%
36°C或以上
25%
35°C 44%
34°C 28%
36°C或以上 25%
33°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
26°C或以下
$353 交易量
<1%
27°C
$428 交易量
<1%
28°C
$287 交易量
<1%
29°C
$242 交易量
<1%
30°C
$46 交易量
<1%
31°C
$148 交易量
1%
32°C
$139 交易量
2%
33°C
$245 交易量
6%
34°C
$158 交易量
28%
35°C
$3,131 交易量
44%
36°C或以上
$656 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-temperature warnings from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory, upgraded to orange level on August 1, form the main driver behind current market-implied odds. Official forecasts project maximum temperatures of 37–39°C across northern Qingdao from August 2–5, with localized spots potentially exceeding 40°C and surrounding areas at 34–36°C, reflecting persistent heat under high humidity and limited sea-breeze moderation. These conditions contrast with typical August climatology of 29–31°C daily highs, elevating the chance of 35°C as the modal outcome while supporting meaningful probability on 36°C or higher. Updated model runs and ongoing surveillance through the warning period will determine whether coastal influences or any late cooling shift the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$5,831結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-temperature warnings from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory, upgraded to orange level on August 1, form the main driver behind current market-implied odds. Official forecasts project maximum temperatures of 37–39°C across northern Qingdao from August 2–5, with localized spots potentially exceeding 40°C and surrounding areas at 34–36°C, reflecting persistent heat under high humidity and limited sea-breeze moderation. These conditions contrast with typical August climatology of 29–31°C daily highs, elevating the chance of 35°C as the modal outcome while supporting meaningful probability on 36°C or higher. Updated model runs and ongoing surveillance through the warning period will determine whether coastal influences or any late cooling shift the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,831結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETRecent high-temperature warnings from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory, upgraded to orange level on August 1, form the main driver behind current market-implied odds. Official forecasts project maximum temperatures of 37–39°C across northern Qingdao from August 2–5, with localized spots potentially exceeding 40°C and surrounding areas at 34–36°C, reflecting persistent heat under high humidity and limited sea-breeze moderation. These conditions contrast with typical August climatology of 29–31°C daily highs, elevating the chance of 35°C as the modal outcome while supporting meaningful probability on 36°C or higher. Updated model runs and ongoing surveillance through the warning period will determine whether coastal influences or any late cooling shift the distribution before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions