Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a transition toward more settled high-pressure conditions across southern England by August 5, supporting overnight minima near 17–19°C in London amid a lingering warm air mass from early-August heat. Light winds and limited cloud cover will moderate nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects in central London further buffer the lowest readings compared with rural sites. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with minor spread arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage. Historical August climatology places typical overnight lows near 13–14°C, underscoring how the current anomalous warmth elevates the most probable outcomes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through August 4 will provide the final observational constraints ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月5日倫敦的最低溫度？
18°C 39%
19°C 36%
17°C 18%
15°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
12%
16°C
8%
17°C
18%
18°C
39%
19°C
36%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 39%
19°C 36%
17°C 18%
15°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
13°C or below
$54 交易量
<1%
14°C
$51 交易量
5%
15°C
$177 交易量
12%
16°C
$86 交易量
8%
17°C
$0 交易量
18%
18°C
$1,075 交易量
39%
19°C
$1,235 交易量
36%
20°C
$53 交易量
8%
21°C
$115 交易量
2%
22°C
$75 交易量
<1%
23°C or higher
$94 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a transition toward more settled high-pressure conditions across southern England by August 5, supporting overnight minima near 17–19°C in London amid a lingering warm air mass from early-August heat. Light winds and limited cloud cover will moderate nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects in central London further buffer the lowest readings compared with rural sites. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with minor spread arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage. Historical August climatology places typical overnight lows near 13–14°C, underscoring how the current anomalous warmth elevates the most probable outcomes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through August 4 will provide the final observational constraints ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,014結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a transition toward more settled high-pressure conditions across southern England by August 5, supporting overnight minima near 17–19°C in London amid a lingering warm air mass from early-August heat. Light winds and limited cloud cover will moderate nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects in central London further buffer the lowest readings compared with rural sites. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with minor spread arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage. Historical August climatology places typical overnight lows near 13–14°C, underscoring how the current anomalous warmth elevates the most probable outcomes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through August 4 will provide the final observational constraints ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,014結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office forecasts indicate a transition toward more settled high-pressure conditions across southern England by August 5, supporting overnight minima near 17–19°C in London amid a lingering warm air mass from early-August heat. Light winds and limited cloud cover will moderate nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects in central London further buffer the lowest readings compared with rural sites. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with minor spread arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage. Historical August climatology places typical overnight lows near 13–14°C, underscoring how the current anomalous warmth elevates the most probable outcomes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through August 4 will provide the final observational constraints ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions