Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF points to a cooling trend after peak warmth on August 3, with high pressure giving way to increased Atlantic influence and possible early showers by August 5. This setup favors a maximum temperature near 24–26°C in central London, where the urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C relative to rural sites, depending on cloud cover and wind direction. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to exact frontal timing and insolation, keeping the market tightly clustered around these values rather than extremes. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet current short-range guidance shows slightly above-normal potential absent significant rain. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月5日倫敦的最高溫度？
25°C 40%
26°C 30%
24°C 21%
27°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
21%
25°C
40%
26°C
30%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C或以上
<1%
25°C 40%
26°C 30%
24°C 21%
27°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
20°C或以下
$77 交易量
<1%
21°C
$262 交易量
1%
22°C
$58 交易量
1%
23°C
$286 交易量
5%
24°C
$246 交易量
21%
25°C
$473 交易量
40%
26°C
$314 交易量
30%
27°C
$238 交易量
9%
28°C
$141 交易量
2%
29°C
$10 交易量
2%
30°C或以上
$672 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF points to a cooling trend after peak warmth on August 3, with high pressure giving way to increased Atlantic influence and possible early showers by August 5. This setup favors a maximum temperature near 24–26°C in central London, where the urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C relative to rural sites, depending on cloud cover and wind direction. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to exact frontal timing and insolation, keeping the market tightly clustered around these values rather than extremes. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet current short-range guidance shows slightly above-normal potential absent significant rain. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,777結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF points to a cooling trend after peak warmth on August 3, with high pressure giving way to increased Atlantic influence and possible early showers by August 5. This setup favors a maximum temperature near 24–26°C in central London, where the urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C relative to rural sites, depending on cloud cover and wind direction. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to exact frontal timing and insolation, keeping the market tightly clustered around these values rather than extremes. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet current short-range guidance shows slightly above-normal potential absent significant rain. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,777結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF points to a cooling trend after peak warmth on August 3, with high pressure giving way to increased Atlantic influence and possible early showers by August 5. This setup favors a maximum temperature near 24–26°C in central London, where the urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C relative to rural sites, depending on cloud cover and wind direction. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to exact frontal timing and insolation, keeping the market tightly clustered around these values rather than extremes. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet current short-range guidance shows slightly above-normal potential absent significant rain. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions