Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate overnight lows near 26°C on August 5 under typical summer monsoon conditions, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Cloud cover and humidity levels remain key variables, as reduced nighttime radiative cooling under overcast skies can hold minima at or above seasonal averages, while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October points to normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range model consensus highlights modest day-to-day variability tied to convective activity and wind patterns. Traders are weighing these atmospheric factors against historical August minimums near 26°C, with fresh model runs expected to sharpen resolution before the date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日香港最低溫度？
8月5日香港最低溫度？
25°C 35%
26°C 35%
27°C 22%
24°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
35%
26°C
35%
27°C
22%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
<1%
25°C 35%
26°C 35%
27°C 22%
24°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
21°C或以下
$57 交易量
<1%
22°C
$62 交易量
1%
23°C
$47 交易量
2%
24°C
$253 交易量
5%
25°C
$257 交易量
35%
26°C
$183 交易量
35%
27°C
$334 交易量
22%
28°C
$35 交易量
5%
29°C
$312 交易量
1%
30°C
$57 交易量
1%
31°C或以上
$43 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate overnight lows near 26°C on August 5 under typical summer monsoon conditions, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Cloud cover and humidity levels remain key variables, as reduced nighttime radiative cooling under overcast skies can hold minima at or above seasonal averages, while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October points to normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range model consensus highlights modest day-to-day variability tied to convective activity and wind patterns. Traders are weighing these atmospheric factors against historical August minimums near 26°C, with fresh model runs expected to sharpen resolution before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,638結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate overnight lows near 26°C on August 5 under typical summer monsoon conditions, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Cloud cover and humidity levels remain key variables, as reduced nighttime radiative cooling under overcast skies can hold minima at or above seasonal averages, while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October points to normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range model consensus highlights modest day-to-day variability tied to convective activity and wind patterns. Traders are weighing these atmospheric factors against historical August minimums near 26°C, with fresh model runs expected to sharpen resolution before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,638結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate overnight lows near 26°C on August 5 under typical summer monsoon conditions, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Cloud cover and humidity levels remain key variables, as reduced nighttime radiative cooling under overcast skies can hold minima at or above seasonal averages, while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October points to normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range model consensus highlights modest day-to-day variability tied to convective activity and wind patterns. Traders are weighing these atmospheric factors against historical August minimums near 26°C, with fresh model runs expected to sharpen resolution before the date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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