Current medium-range forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C on August 5, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling under light winds. Ensemble spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer processes, with lower values favored if dew points drop further or if urban heat-island effects are minimized, while slightly higher readings could result from increased cloud cover or a modest warm advection. Historical August climatology places average minima around 15–16°C, but the current pattern aligns with warmer recent analogs, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes ahead of updated model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日巴黎最低溫度？
8月5日巴黎最低溫度？
19°C 39%
20°C 37%
18°C 14%
21°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
14%
19°C
39%
20°C
37%
21°C
9%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 39%
20°C 37%
18°C 14%
21°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
16°C or below
$257 交易量
1%
17°C
$115 交易量
3%
18°C
$161 交易量
14%
19°C
$2,497 交易量
39%
20°C
$669 交易量
37%
21°C
$135 交易量
9%
22°C
$104 交易量
4%
23°C
$281 交易量
1%
24°C
$192 交易量
<1%
25°C
$126 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$126 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current medium-range forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C on August 5, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling under light winds. Ensemble spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer processes, with lower values favored if dew points drop further or if urban heat-island effects are minimized, while slightly higher readings could result from increased cloud cover or a modest warm advection. Historical August climatology places average minima around 15–16°C, but the current pattern aligns with warmer recent analogs, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$4,663結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current medium-range forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C on August 5, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling under light winds. Ensemble spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer processes, with lower values favored if dew points drop further or if urban heat-island effects are minimized, while slightly higher readings could result from increased cloud cover or a modest warm advection. Historical August climatology places average minima around 15–16°C, but the current pattern aligns with warmer recent analogs, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,663結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent medium-range forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C on August 5, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling under light winds. Ensemble spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer processes, with lower values favored if dew points drop further or if urban heat-island effects are minimized, while slightly higher readings could result from increased cloud cover or a modest warm advection. Historical August climatology places average minima around 15–16°C, but the current pattern aligns with warmer recent analogs, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes ahead of updated model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions