Recent forecasts from European models indicate a moderating air mass over northern France on August 5, with Paris maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities on those two outcomes, reflecting consensus guidance that avoids both the extreme heat advection seen during the June–July 2026 heatwaves and cooler maritime intrusions that could cap readings at 27 °C or below. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk to 30 °C or higher unless a stronger ridge builds unexpectedly; Météo-France updates and the next model cycle will further refine these thresholds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日巴黎最高溫度？
8月5日巴黎最高溫度？
28°C 46%
29°C 31%
27°C 19%
30°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
46%
29°C
31%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 31%
27°C 19%
30°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
24°C或以下
$350 交易量
<1%
25°C
$85 交易量
<1%
26°C
$147 交易量
3%
27°C
$382 交易量
19%
28°C
$751 交易量
46%
29°C
$435 交易量
31%
30°C
$243 交易量
6%
31°C
$281 交易量
3%
32°C
$457 交易量
1%
33°C
$138 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$259 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate a moderating air mass over northern France on August 5, with Paris maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities on those two outcomes, reflecting consensus guidance that avoids both the extreme heat advection seen during the June–July 2026 heatwaves and cooler maritime intrusions that could cap readings at 27 °C or below. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk to 30 °C or higher unless a stronger ridge builds unexpectedly; Météo-France updates and the next model cycle will further refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,529結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate a moderating air mass over northern France on August 5, with Paris maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities on those two outcomes, reflecting consensus guidance that avoids both the extreme heat advection seen during the June–July 2026 heatwaves and cooler maritime intrusions that could cap readings at 27 °C or below. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk to 30 °C or higher unless a stronger ridge builds unexpectedly; Météo-France updates and the next model cycle will further refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,529結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from European models indicate a moderating air mass over northern France on August 5, with Paris maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities on those two outcomes, reflecting consensus guidance that avoids both the extreme heat advection seen during the June–July 2026 heatwaves and cooler maritime intrusions that could cap readings at 27 °C or below. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk to 30 °C or higher unless a stronger ridge builds unexpectedly; Météo-France updates and the next model cycle will further refine these thresholds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions