Recent official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models place Ankara’s maximum temperature on August 26 near 33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows daytime heating to peak in the low-to-mid 30s. Late-August climatology shows daily highs typically declining from 34–35°C early in the month toward 30–32°C by month-end, positioning the current guidance slightly above average yet within normal variability. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 33°C outcome while leaving modest probability on 32°C or 34°C should boundary-layer conditions or insolation deviate slightly from the mean solution. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日安卡拉的最高溫度?
33°C 55%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
32%
33°C
55%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 55%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
32%
33°C
55%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models place Ankara’s maximum temperature on August 26 near 33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows daytime heating to peak in the low-to-mid 30s. Late-August climatology shows daily highs typically declining from 34–35°C early in the month toward 30–32°C by month-end, positioning the current guidance slightly above average yet within normal variability. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 33°C outcome while leaving modest probability on 32°C or 34°C should boundary-layer conditions or insolation deviate slightly from the mean solution. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions