Persistent influence from the North Pacific high, combined with elevated dew points near 24–25 °C and overnight relative humidities above 90 %, is suppressing radiative cooling and anchoring the lowest temperature in Incheon near 25–26 °C on August 24. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and aligned global models currently project a minimum around 24–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, consistent with recent overnight lows that have remained in the mid-20s despite daytime maxima near 32 °C. Scattered shower chances near 20 % further limit any sharp nocturnal drop. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5 % implied probability for 26 °C and 38 % for 25 °C tracks this narrow forecast range, with late-evening observational updates or revised model runs the most likely near-term catalysts for any probability shifts before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 24?
26°C 59%
25°C 38%
24°C 5%
29°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
38%
26°C
59%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 59%
25°C 38%
24°C 5%
29°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$372 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$530 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$162 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$624 Обс.
5%
25°C
$655 Обс.
38%
26°C
$3,403 Обс.
59%
27°C
$598 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$141 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$241 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$628 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$262 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent influence from the North Pacific high, combined with elevated dew points near 24–25 °C and overnight relative humidities above 90 %, is suppressing radiative cooling and anchoring the lowest temperature in Incheon near 25–26 °C on August 24. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and aligned global models currently project a minimum around 24–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, consistent with recent overnight lows that have remained in the mid-20s despite daytime maxima near 32 °C. Scattered shower chances near 20 % further limit any sharp nocturnal drop. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5 % implied probability for 26 °C and 38 % for 25 °C tracks this narrow forecast range, with late-evening observational updates or revised model runs the most likely near-term catalysts for any probability shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,617Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent influence from the North Pacific high, combined with elevated dew points near 24–25 °C and overnight relative humidities above 90 %, is suppressing radiative cooling and anchoring the lowest temperature in Incheon near 25–26 °C on August 24. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and aligned global models currently project a minimum around 24–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, consistent with recent overnight lows that have remained in the mid-20s despite daytime maxima near 32 °C. Scattered shower chances near 20 % further limit any sharp nocturnal drop. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5 % implied probability for 26 °C and 38 % for 25 °C tracks this narrow forecast range, with late-evening observational updates or revised model runs the most likely near-term catalysts for any probability shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,617Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent influence from the North Pacific high, combined with elevated dew points near 24–25 °C and overnight relative humidities above 90 %, is suppressing radiative cooling and anchoring the lowest temperature in Incheon near 25–26 °C on August 24. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and aligned global models currently project a minimum around 24–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, consistent with recent overnight lows that have remained in the mid-20s despite daytime maxima near 32 °C. Scattered shower chances near 20 % further limit any sharp nocturnal drop. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5 % implied probability for 26 °C and 38 % for 25 °C tracks this narrow forecast range, with late-evening observational updates or revised model runs the most likely near-term catalysts for any probability shifts before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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