Recent forecast model runs indicate variable cloud cover and light winds over Munich on August 25, creating tight uncertainty around overnight minimum temperatures near 12–14°C. Clearer intervals would enhance radiative cooling at the surface, favoring the lower end around 12°C, while increased cloudiness and any light precipitation would limit heat loss and support values near 14°C. European model consensus shows a weak frontal boundary nearby, with subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts distinguishing the leading outcomes. Historical August climatology for the region places typical lows at 12–14°C, consistent with current trader-implied probabilities clustered around these thresholds. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Munich on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 25?
12°C 32%
13°C 29%
14°C 27%
8°C or below 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
22%
9°C
1%
10°C
10%
11°C
18%
12°C
32%
13°C
29%
14°C
27%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C or higher
9%
12°C 32%
13°C 29%
14°C 27%
8°C or below 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
$140 Обс.
22%
9°C
$20 Обс.
1%
10°C
$0 Обс.
10%
11°C
$0 Обс.
18%
12°C
$0 Обс.
32%
13°C
$0 Обс.
29%
14°C
$0 Обс.
27%
15°C
$0 Обс.
9%
16°C
$5 Обс.
1%
17°C
$140 Обс.
6%
18°C or higher
$140 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs indicate variable cloud cover and light winds over Munich on August 25, creating tight uncertainty around overnight minimum temperatures near 12–14°C. Clearer intervals would enhance radiative cooling at the surface, favoring the lower end around 12°C, while increased cloudiness and any light precipitation would limit heat loss and support values near 14°C. European model consensus shows a weak frontal boundary nearby, with subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts distinguishing the leading outcomes. Historical August climatology for the region places typical lows at 12–14°C, consistent with current trader-implied probabilities clustered around these thresholds. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$445Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs indicate variable cloud cover and light winds over Munich on August 25, creating tight uncertainty around overnight minimum temperatures near 12–14°C. Clearer intervals would enhance radiative cooling at the surface, favoring the lower end around 12°C, while increased cloudiness and any light precipitation would limit heat loss and support values near 14°C. European model consensus shows a weak frontal boundary nearby, with subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts distinguishing the leading outcomes. Historical August climatology for the region places typical lows at 12–14°C, consistent with current trader-implied probabilities clustered around these thresholds. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$445Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs indicate variable cloud cover and light winds over Munich on August 25, creating tight uncertainty around overnight minimum temperatures near 12–14°C. Clearer intervals would enhance radiative cooling at the surface, favoring the lower end around 12°C, while increased cloudiness and any light precipitation would limit heat loss and support values near 14°C. European model consensus shows a weak frontal boundary nearby, with subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts distinguishing the leading outcomes. Historical August climatology for the region places typical lows at 12–14°C, consistent with current trader-implied probabilities clustered around these thresholds. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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