Recent passage of a cold front over São Paulo state has advected cooler polar maritime air, suppressing daytime maximum temperatures ahead of August 24. Official guidance from INMET alongside ECMWF and GFS model runs indicates highs most likely between 17°C and 21°C under variable cloud cover and southeasterly winds of 10–18 km/h, with urban heat-island effects partially offsetting radiative cooling at night. This narrow spread in guidance—driven by differences in frontal timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing—explains the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 19–21°C. Traders are watching the final pre-event INMET forecast and Mirante de Santana station observations for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 24?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 24?
20°C 30%
19°C 24%
21°C 22%
18°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
11%
19°C
24%
20°C
30%
21°C
22%
22°C
9%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 30%
19°C 24%
21°C 22%
18°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$44 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$85 Обс.
1%
17°C
$383 Обс.
5%
18°C
$831 Обс.
11%
19°C
$1,671 Обс.
24%
20°C
$596 Обс.
30%
21°C
$478 Обс.
22%
22°C
$844 Обс.
9%
23°C
$551 Обс.
4%
24°C
$276 Обс.
2%
25°C or higher
$53 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent passage of a cold front over São Paulo state has advected cooler polar maritime air, suppressing daytime maximum temperatures ahead of August 24. Official guidance from INMET alongside ECMWF and GFS model runs indicates highs most likely between 17°C and 21°C under variable cloud cover and southeasterly winds of 10–18 km/h, with urban heat-island effects partially offsetting radiative cooling at night. This narrow spread in guidance—driven by differences in frontal timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing—explains the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 19–21°C. Traders are watching the final pre-event INMET forecast and Mirante de Santana station observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$5,812Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent passage of a cold front over São Paulo state has advected cooler polar maritime air, suppressing daytime maximum temperatures ahead of August 24. Official guidance from INMET alongside ECMWF and GFS model runs indicates highs most likely between 17°C and 21°C under variable cloud cover and southeasterly winds of 10–18 km/h, with urban heat-island effects partially offsetting radiative cooling at night. This narrow spread in guidance—driven by differences in frontal timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing—explains the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 19–21°C. Traders are watching the final pre-event INMET forecast and Mirante de Santana station observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,812Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent passage of a cold front over São Paulo state has advected cooler polar maritime air, suppressing daytime maximum temperatures ahead of August 24. Official guidance from INMET alongside ECMWF and GFS model runs indicates highs most likely between 17°C and 21°C under variable cloud cover and southeasterly winds of 10–18 km/h, with urban heat-island effects partially offsetting radiative cooling at night. This narrow spread in guidance—driven by differences in frontal timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing—explains the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 19–21°C. Traders are watching the final pre-event INMET forecast and Mirante de Santana station observations for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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