Recent forecasts from global ensembles and regional models, including light northeasterly flow under stable high pressure, position a 12–13°C daytime maximum as the most probable outcome for Buenos Aires on August 24. Late-winter climatology at 34.6°S yields typical August highs of 15–17°C, yet persistent cloud cover and onshore advection currently limit insolation and diurnal warming, aligning observed recent peaks near 11–14°C. Model consensus narrows uncertainty around the 12–13°C bin, with only modest upside potential from unexpected clearing. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs and ensemble guidance ahead of resolution will refine these trader-implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
13°C 50%
12°C 25%
14°C 22%
15°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
25%
13°C
50%
14°C
22%
15°C
5%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 50%
12°C 25%
14°C 22%
15°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
$99 Обс.
<1%
8°C
$221 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$174 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$228 Обс.
1%
11°C
$289 Обс.
4%
12°C
$567 Обс.
25%
13°C
$483 Обс.
50%
14°C
$971 Обс.
22%
15°C
$928 Обс.
5%
16°C
$170 Обс.
<1%
17°C or higher
$199 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global ensembles and regional models, including light northeasterly flow under stable high pressure, position a 12–13°C daytime maximum as the most probable outcome for Buenos Aires on August 24. Late-winter climatology at 34.6°S yields typical August highs of 15–17°C, yet persistent cloud cover and onshore advection currently limit insolation and diurnal warming, aligning observed recent peaks near 11–14°C. Model consensus narrows uncertainty around the 12–13°C bin, with only modest upside potential from unexpected clearing. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs and ensemble guidance ahead of resolution will refine these trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,330Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global ensembles and regional models, including light northeasterly flow under stable high pressure, position a 12–13°C daytime maximum as the most probable outcome for Buenos Aires on August 24. Late-winter climatology at 34.6°S yields typical August highs of 15–17°C, yet persistent cloud cover and onshore advection currently limit insolation and diurnal warming, aligning observed recent peaks near 11–14°C. Model consensus narrows uncertainty around the 12–13°C bin, with only modest upside potential from unexpected clearing. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs and ensemble guidance ahead of resolution will refine these trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,330Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global ensembles and regional models, including light northeasterly flow under stable high pressure, position a 12–13°C daytime maximum as the most probable outcome for Buenos Aires on August 24. Late-winter climatology at 34.6°S yields typical August highs of 15–17°C, yet persistent cloud cover and onshore advection currently limit insolation and diurnal warming, aligning observed recent peaks near 11–14°C. Model consensus narrows uncertainty around the 12–13°C bin, with only modest upside potential from unexpected clearing. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs and ensemble guidance ahead of resolution will refine these trader-implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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