Recent polling shows the Parti Libéral du Québec holding steady provincial support near 20-24 percent, with strength concentrated among anglophone and allophone voters in the Montreal region that aids seat efficiency despite weaker francophone backing. The CAQ's recent gains, partly linked to voter concerns over U.S. trade tensions, have drawn some support away from the Liberals early in the October 5 campaign, while the PQ leads overall. Seat projections from aggregators place the PLQ around 30-38 seats, reflecting competitive riding-level dynamics and limited paths to expansion outside urban strongholds. Trader consensus on the 28-35 seat range aligns with these patterns, as further shifts in francophone preferences or late campaign developments could alter outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว32-35 29%
28-31 25%
<28 21%
36-39 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 5, 2026
<28
21%
28-31
25%
32-35
29%
36-39
20%
40-43
6%
44+
6%
32-35 29%
28-31 25%
<28 21%
36-39 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 5, 2026
<28
$2,043 ปริมาณ
21%
28-31
$1,419 ปริมาณ
25%
32-35
$959 ปริมาณ
29%
36-39
$1,303 ปริมาณ
20%
40-43
$829 ปริมาณ
6%
44+
$615 ปริมาณ
6%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Libéral du Québec holding steady provincial support near 20-24 percent, with strength concentrated among anglophone and allophone voters in the Montreal region that aids seat efficiency despite weaker francophone backing. The CAQ's recent gains, partly linked to voter concerns over U.S. trade tensions, have drawn some support away from the Liberals early in the October 5 campaign, while the PQ leads overall. Seat projections from aggregators place the PLQ around 30-38 seats, reflecting competitive riding-level dynamics and limited paths to expansion outside urban strongholds. Trader consensus on the 28-35 seat range aligns with these patterns, as further shifts in francophone preferences or late campaign developments could alter outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,168วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Libéral du Québec holding steady provincial support near 20-24 percent, with strength concentrated among anglophone and allophone voters in the Montreal region that aids seat efficiency despite weaker francophone backing. The CAQ's recent gains, partly linked to voter concerns over U.S. trade tensions, have drawn some support away from the Liberals early in the October 5 campaign, while the PQ leads overall. Seat projections from aggregators place the PLQ around 30-38 seats, reflecting competitive riding-level dynamics and limited paths to expansion outside urban strongholds. Trader consensus on the 28-35 seat range aligns with these patterns, as further shifts in francophone preferences or late campaign developments could alter outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,168วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Libéral du Québec holding steady provincial support near 20-24 percent, with strength concentrated among anglophone and allophone voters in the Montreal region that aids seat efficiency despite weaker francophone backing. The CAQ's recent gains, partly linked to voter concerns over U.S. trade tensions, have drawn some support away from the Liberals early in the October 5 campaign, while the PQ leads overall. Seat projections from aggregators place the PLQ around 30-38 seats, reflecting competitive riding-level dynamics and limited paths to expansion outside urban strongholds. Trader consensus on the 28-35 seat range aligns with these patterns, as further shifts in francophone preferences or late campaign developments could alter outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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