Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec locked in a tight contest for first place ahead of the October 5 election, with the Quebec Liberal Party holding a regional stronghold in Montreal but losing ground provincewide. The CAQ’s recent surge has narrowed the gap with the PQ while drawing from Liberal support, positioning the PLQ as the most probable third-place finisher in the eyes of traders. Smaller parties like the Parti Conservateur du Québec gain traction in specific regions such as Quebec City, yet lack the breadth to challenge for third overall. Québec Solidaire remains further back on defense. Regional fragmentation, leadership performance on trade and sovereignty issues, and remaining campaign volatility keep third-place probabilities closely contested.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPLQ 50%
CAQ 30%
PCQ 14%
PQ 9%

PLQ
50%

CAQ
30%

PCQ
14%

PQ
9%

QS
3%

PVQ
1%
PLQ 50%
CAQ 30%
PCQ 14%
PQ 9%

PLQ
50%

CAQ
30%

PCQ
14%

PQ
9%

QS
3%

PVQ
1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec locked in a tight contest for first place ahead of the October 5 election, with the Quebec Liberal Party holding a regional stronghold in Montreal but losing ground provincewide. The CAQ’s recent surge has narrowed the gap with the PQ while drawing from Liberal support, positioning the PLQ as the most probable third-place finisher in the eyes of traders. Smaller parties like the Parti Conservateur du Québec gain traction in specific regions such as Quebec City, yet lack the breadth to challenge for third overall. Québec Solidaire remains further back on defense. Regional fragmentation, leadership performance on trade and sovereignty issues, and remaining campaign volatility keep third-place probabilities closely contested.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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