Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberals locked in a tight popular vote race near 30 percent each, with the Coalition Avenir Québec recovering modestly under new leader Christine Fréchette to the low 20s. Trader consensus favors the PQ at 56.5 percent because its stronger support among Francophone voters translates into a clearer path to a majority of seats in the National Assembly, a pattern seen in multiple seat projections. The CAQ's earlier decline from governing levels and the Liberals' position as the leading federalist option keep those parties in contention but behind. With the October election four months away, shifts in Francophone preferences or further CAQ gains remain the main variables that could alter the current implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
PQ 56%
PLQ 27%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 16%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$555,289 ปริมาณ
$555,289 ปริมาณ
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
56%
PLQ
27%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
16%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
<1%
PVQ
<1%
ข้อซ
<1%
PQ 56%
PLQ 27%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 16%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$555,289 ปริมาณ
$555,289 ปริมาณ
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$56,156 ปริมาณ
56%
PLQ
$59,549 ปริมาณ
27%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
$67,690 ปริมาณ
16%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
$170,808 ปริมาณ
<1%
PVQ
$129,281 ปริมาณ
<1%
ข้อซ
$71,805 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberals locked in a tight popular vote race near 30 percent each, with the Coalition Avenir Québec recovering modestly under new leader Christine Fréchette to the low 20s. Trader consensus favors the PQ at 56.5 percent because its stronger support among Francophone voters translates into a clearer path to a majority of seats in the National Assembly, a pattern seen in multiple seat projections. The CAQ's earlier decline from governing levels and the Liberals' position as the leading federalist option keep those parties in contention but behind. With the October election four months away, shifts in Francophone preferences or further CAQ gains remain the main variables that could alter the current implied probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$555,289วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberals locked in a tight popular vote race near 30 percent each, with the Coalition Avenir Québec recovering modestly under new leader Christine Fréchette to the low 20s. Trader consensus favors the PQ at 56.5 percent because its stronger support among Francophone voters translates into a clearer path to a majority of seats in the National Assembly, a pattern seen in multiple seat projections. The CAQ's earlier decline from governing levels and the Liberals' position as the leading federalist option keep those parties in contention but behind. With the October election four months away, shifts in Francophone preferences or further CAQ gains remain the main variables that could alter the current implied probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$555,289วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberals locked in a tight popular vote race near 30 percent each, with the Coalition Avenir Québec recovering modestly under new leader Christine Fréchette to the low 20s. Trader consensus favors the PQ at 56.5 percent because its stronger support among Francophone voters translates into a clearer path to a majority of seats in the National Assembly, a pattern seen in multiple seat projections. The CAQ's earlier decline from governing levels and the Liberals' position as the leading federalist option keep those parties in contention but behind. With the October election four months away, shifts in Francophone preferences or further CAQ gains remain the main variables that could alter the current implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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