Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote at around 29 percent, driven by strong francophone support, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed into second at 24-27 percent amid gains from Liberal erosion. This distribution, combined with first-past-the-post dynamics that favor the PQ’s regional concentration, underpins trader consensus on a PQ plurality or government formation. The August 27 election call for October 5 and early-campaign focus on U.S. tariffs, healthcare reform, and sovereignty timing have reinforced these positions, though 40 percent-plus voter fluidity and upcoming September debates introduce potential shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
PQ 72%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 26%
PLQ 2.7%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$888,503 ปริมาณ
$888,503 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
72%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
26%
PLQ
3%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
<1%
PVQ
<1%
ข้อซ
<1%
PQ 72%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 26%
PLQ 2.7%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$888,503 ปริมาณ
$888,503 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
$118,099 ปริมาณ
72%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
$136,355 ปริมาณ
26%
PLQ
$123,494 ปริมาณ
3%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
$246,510 ปริมาณ
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 ปริมาณ
<1%
ข้อซ
$106,523 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote at around 29 percent, driven by strong francophone support, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed into second at 24-27 percent amid gains from Liberal erosion. This distribution, combined with first-past-the-post dynamics that favor the PQ’s regional concentration, underpins trader consensus on a PQ plurality or government formation. The August 27 election call for October 5 and early-campaign focus on U.S. tariffs, healthcare reform, and sovereignty timing have reinforced these positions, though 40 percent-plus voter fluidity and upcoming September debates introduce potential shifts before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$888,503วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote at around 29 percent, driven by strong francophone support, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed into second at 24-27 percent amid gains from Liberal erosion. This distribution, combined with first-past-the-post dynamics that favor the PQ’s regional concentration, underpins trader consensus on a PQ plurality or government formation. The August 27 election call for October 5 and early-campaign focus on U.S. tariffs, healthcare reform, and sovereignty timing have reinforced these positions, though 40 percent-plus voter fluidity and upcoming September debates introduce potential shifts before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$888,503วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote at around 29 percent, driven by strong francophone support, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed into second at 24-27 percent amid gains from Liberal erosion. This distribution, combined with first-past-the-post dynamics that favor the PQ’s regional concentration, underpins trader consensus on a PQ plurality or government formation. The August 27 election call for October 5 and early-campaign focus on U.S. tariffs, healthcare reform, and sovereignty timing have reinforced these positions, though 40 percent-plus voter fluidity and upcoming September debates introduce potential shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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