The recent 27-month term extension approved by Somaliland's House of Elders in April 2026, citing security concerns, technical issues, and drought conditions, has shifted the parliamentary election originally set for May 2026 into 2027. This institutional decision underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring no vote before 2027, reflecting repeated historical patterns of postponements that have delayed direct contests for the 82 House of Representatives seats among the three authorized parties. Factors that could still alter this trajectory include successful challenges to the extension, improvements in security or logistical readiness prompting an earlier date, or shifts in executive and clan-based negotiations that accelerate the process within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSomaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027 95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 3.0%
Waddani 2.9%
Kulmiye 2.8%
$94,834 ปริมาณ
$94,834 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
No election before 2027
95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
3%
Waddani
3%
Kulmiye
3%
No election before 2027 95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 3.0%
Waddani 2.9%
Kulmiye 2.8%
$94,834 ปริมาณ
$94,834 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
No election before 2027
$84,975 ปริมาณ
95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
$4,279 ปริมาณ
3%
Waddani
$2,522 ปริมาณ
3%
Kulmiye
$3,058 ปริมาณ
3%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).The recent 27-month term extension approved by Somaliland's House of Elders in April 2026, citing security concerns, technical issues, and drought conditions, has shifted the parliamentary election originally set for May 2026 into 2027. This institutional decision underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring no vote before 2027, reflecting repeated historical patterns of postponements that have delayed direct contests for the 82 House of Representatives seats among the three authorized parties. Factors that could still alter this trajectory include successful challenges to the extension, improvements in security or logistical readiness prompting an earlier date, or shifts in executive and clan-based negotiations that accelerate the process within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$94,834วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).The recent 27-month term extension approved by Somaliland's House of Elders in April 2026, citing security concerns, technical issues, and drought conditions, has shifted the parliamentary election originally set for May 2026 into 2027. This institutional decision underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring no vote before 2027, reflecting repeated historical patterns of postponements that have delayed direct contests for the 82 House of Representatives seats among the three authorized parties. Factors that could still alter this trajectory include successful challenges to the extension, improvements in security or logistical readiness prompting an earlier date, or shifts in executive and clan-based negotiations that accelerate the process within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$94,834วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The recent 27-month term extension approved by Somaliland's House of Elders in April 2026, citing security concerns, technical issues, and drought conditions, has shifted the parliamentary election originally set for May 2026 into 2027. This institutional decision underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring no vote before 2027, reflecting repeated historical patterns of postponements that have delayed direct contests for the 82 House of Representatives seats among the three authorized parties. Factors that could still alter this trajectory include successful challenges to the extension, improvements in security or logistical readiness prompting an earlier date, or shifts in executive and clan-based negotiations that accelerate the process within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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