The managed electoral system and United Russia's structural advantages as the ruling party drive trader consensus toward 325–354 seats in the September 2026 State Duma vote. Preparations including the June party convention, approval of a top-five list featuring loyalists such as Sergey Lavrov and Sergey Sobyanin, and efforts to boost turnout in occupied Ukrainian territories reinforce expectations of retaining a constitutional majority near or above the 310 seats currently held. Limited genuine opposition, single-member district dominance, and alignment of systemic parties narrow downside risks while capping upside potential short of 355, as economic pressures and war-related factors introduce modest uncertainty around exact margins without altering the overall outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 18.7%
355+ 13%
$185,694 ปริมาณ
$185,694 ปริมาณ
Sep 19, 2026
<280
3%
280–294
4%
295–309
7%
310–324
19%
325–339
35%
340–354
23%
355+
13%
325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 18.7%
355+ 13%
$185,694 ปริมาณ
$185,694 ปริมาณ
Sep 19, 2026
<280
$26,808 ปริมาณ
3%
280–294
$16,696 ปริมาณ
4%
295–309
$11,907 ปริมาณ
7%
310–324
$14,918 ปริมาณ
19%
325–339
$27,806 ปริมาณ
35%
340–354
$48,826 ปริมาณ
23%
355+
$38,731 ปริมาณ
13%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The managed electoral system and United Russia's structural advantages as the ruling party drive trader consensus toward 325–354 seats in the September 2026 State Duma vote. Preparations including the June party convention, approval of a top-five list featuring loyalists such as Sergey Lavrov and Sergey Sobyanin, and efforts to boost turnout in occupied Ukrainian territories reinforce expectations of retaining a constitutional majority near or above the 310 seats currently held. Limited genuine opposition, single-member district dominance, and alignment of systemic parties narrow downside risks while capping upside potential short of 355, as economic pressures and war-related factors introduce modest uncertainty around exact margins without altering the overall outcome.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$185,694วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The managed electoral system and United Russia's structural advantages as the ruling party drive trader consensus toward 325–354 seats in the September 2026 State Duma vote. Preparations including the June party convention, approval of a top-five list featuring loyalists such as Sergey Lavrov and Sergey Sobyanin, and efforts to boost turnout in occupied Ukrainian territories reinforce expectations of retaining a constitutional majority near or above the 310 seats currently held. Limited genuine opposition, single-member district dominance, and alignment of systemic parties narrow downside risks while capping upside potential short of 355, as economic pressures and war-related factors introduce modest uncertainty around exact margins without altering the overall outcome.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$185,694วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The managed electoral system and United Russia's structural advantages as the ruling party drive trader consensus toward 325–354 seats in the September 2026 State Duma vote. Preparations including the June party convention, approval of a top-five list featuring loyalists such as Sergey Lavrov and Sergey Sobyanin, and efforts to boost turnout in occupied Ukrainian territories reinforce expectations of retaining a constitutional majority near or above the 310 seats currently held. Limited genuine opposition, single-member district dominance, and alignment of systemic parties narrow downside risks while capping upside potential short of 355, as economic pressures and war-related factors introduce modest uncertainty around exact margins without altering the overall outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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