**United Russia maintains a commanding position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and regional elections through institutional advantages, redrawn constituencies, multi-day voting, expanded electronic voting in nearly half the regions, and the exclusion of genuine opposition candidates.** Regional results from 2025 showed the party or its affiliates securing overwhelming majorities in nearly all legislative assemblies and all but one governorship. Kremlin directives have lowered vote-share targets in several regions to 45–50 percent amid softer public support tied to the Ukraine conflict and economic pressures, while maintaining higher benchmarks in loyal “sultanate” areas. These adjustments, combined with historical patterns of engineered outcomes, underpin the 62 percent implied probability that United Russia secures victories across every region, though a handful of weaker districts introduce modest uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
62% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
62% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.**United Russia maintains a commanding position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and regional elections through institutional advantages, redrawn constituencies, multi-day voting, expanded electronic voting in nearly half the regions, and the exclusion of genuine opposition candidates.** Regional results from 2025 showed the party or its affiliates securing overwhelming majorities in nearly all legislative assemblies and all but one governorship. Kremlin directives have lowered vote-share targets in several regions to 45–50 percent amid softer public support tied to the Ukraine conflict and economic pressures, while maintaining higher benchmarks in loyal “sultanate” areas. These adjustments, combined with historical patterns of engineered outcomes, underpin the 62 percent implied probability that United Russia secures victories across every region, though a handful of weaker districts introduce modest uncertainty.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,917วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.**United Russia maintains a commanding position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and regional elections through institutional advantages, redrawn constituencies, multi-day voting, expanded electronic voting in nearly half the regions, and the exclusion of genuine opposition candidates.** Regional results from 2025 showed the party or its affiliates securing overwhelming majorities in nearly all legislative assemblies and all but one governorship. Kremlin directives have lowered vote-share targets in several regions to 45–50 percent amid softer public support tied to the Ukraine conflict and economic pressures, while maintaining higher benchmarks in loyal “sultanate” areas. These adjustments, combined with historical patterns of engineered outcomes, underpin the 62 percent implied probability that United Russia secures victories across every region, though a handful of weaker districts introduce modest uncertainty.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,917วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**United Russia maintains a commanding position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and regional elections through institutional advantages, redrawn constituencies, multi-day voting, expanded electronic voting in nearly half the regions, and the exclusion of genuine opposition candidates.** Regional results from 2025 showed the party or its affiliates securing overwhelming majorities in nearly all legislative assemblies and all but one governorship. Kremlin directives have lowered vote-share targets in several regions to 45–50 percent amid softer public support tied to the Ukraine conflict and economic pressures, while maintaining higher benchmarks in loyal “sultanate” areas. These adjustments, combined with historical patterns of engineered outcomes, underpin the 62 percent implied probability that United Russia secures victories across every region, though a handful of weaker districts introduce modest uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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