United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and consistent polling dominance at 40-50 percent support. Recent regional votes and Kremlin preparations have reinforced expectations of another constitutional majority for the party, consistent with its performance in prior cycles. New People has shown relative momentum in some state-affiliated surveys, placing it second in several readings and supporting its secondary market position, though analysts note weaker regional structures compared with established systemic parties. Other listed parties trail significantly amid limited competition and multi-day voting procedures. These dynamics reflect trader assessments of incumbency advantages and party system constraints heading into the election window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วพรรคใดจะได้ที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซีย?
พรรคใดจะได้ที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซีย?
รัสเซียรวม (ER) 72%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL) 20.2%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR) 5.9%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 1.6%
$20,207,995 ปริมาณ
$20,207,995 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
รัสเซียรวม (ER)
72%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL)
20%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR)
6%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
2%
พรรคยุติธรรมรัสเซีย – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
พรรคแพลตฟอร์มพลเมือง (GP)
<1%
รัสเซียรวม (ER) 72%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL) 20.2%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR) 5.9%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 1.6%
$20,207,995 ปริมาณ
$20,207,995 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
รัสเซียรวม (ER)
$7,128,772 ปริมาณ
72%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL)
$2,131,421 ปริมาณ
20%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR)
$3,212,589 ปริมาณ
6%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
$1,334,869 ปริมาณ
2%
พรรคยุติธรรมรัสเซีย – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
$1,535,802 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rodina
$2,387,585 ปริมาณ
<1%
Yabloko
$1,201,895 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคแพลตฟอร์มพลเมือง (GP)
$1,275,063 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and consistent polling dominance at 40-50 percent support. Recent regional votes and Kremlin preparations have reinforced expectations of another constitutional majority for the party, consistent with its performance in prior cycles. New People has shown relative momentum in some state-affiliated surveys, placing it second in several readings and supporting its secondary market position, though analysts note weaker regional structures compared with established systemic parties. Other listed parties trail significantly amid limited competition and multi-day voting procedures. These dynamics reflect trader assessments of incumbency advantages and party system constraints heading into the election window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,207,995วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and consistent polling dominance at 40-50 percent support. Recent regional votes and Kremlin preparations have reinforced expectations of another constitutional majority for the party, consistent with its performance in prior cycles. New People has shown relative momentum in some state-affiliated surveys, placing it second in several readings and supporting its secondary market position, though analysts note weaker regional structures compared with established systemic parties. Other listed parties trail significantly amid limited competition and multi-day voting procedures. These dynamics reflect trader assessments of incumbency advantages and party system constraints heading into the election window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,207,995วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and consistent polling dominance at 40-50 percent support. Recent regional votes and Kremlin preparations have reinforced expectations of another constitutional majority for the party, consistent with its performance in prior cycles. New People has shown relative momentum in some state-affiliated surveys, placing it second in several readings and supporting its secondary market position, though analysts note weaker regional structures compared with established systemic parties. Other listed parties trail significantly amid limited competition and multi-day voting procedures. These dynamics reflect trader assessments of incumbency advantages and party system constraints heading into the election window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) จะชนะที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซียครั้งหน้าหรือไม่?
99%
ใช่
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
42%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
82%
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