Recent opinion polls from Russian pollsters show United Russia maintaining a commanding lead, while New People, LDPR, and KPRF register closely clustered support in the low-to-mid teens, with results varying notably between VCIOM and FOM surveys. Kremlin-aligned preparations emphasize managed stability through media access, regional mobilization, and candidate approvals ahead of the September 18-20 vote, including the recent exclusion of Yabloko. These factors sustain tight competition for third place as traders weigh New People's recent polling gains against LDPR's established nationalist base and KPRF's organizational reach. Developments such as shifts in single-member district outcomes, final campaign messaging, or turnout patterns in key regions could widen gaps before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew People (NL) 39%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 14%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) <1%
$57,293 ปริมาณ
$57,293 ปริมาณ

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
14%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%

New People (NL)
39%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
1%
New People (NL) 39%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 14%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) <1%
$57,293 ปริมาณ
$57,293 ปริมาณ

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
14%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%

New People (NL)
39%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls from Russian pollsters show United Russia maintaining a commanding lead, while New People, LDPR, and KPRF register closely clustered support in the low-to-mid teens, with results varying notably between VCIOM and FOM surveys. Kremlin-aligned preparations emphasize managed stability through media access, regional mobilization, and candidate approvals ahead of the September 18-20 vote, including the recent exclusion of Yabloko. These factors sustain tight competition for third place as traders weigh New People's recent polling gains against LDPR's established nationalist base and KPRF's organizational reach. Developments such as shifts in single-member district outcomes, final campaign messaging, or turnout patterns in key regions could widen gaps before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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